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Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction 8-11-24 MLB Picks

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Cleveland Guardians (68-49) vs. Minnesota Twins (65-51)
August 11, 2024 2:10 pm EDT
The Line: Minnesota Twins -101 / Cleveland Guardians -118; Over/Under: +8
(Get latest betting odds)

The Cleveland Guardians and Minnesota Twins meet Sunday in MLB Game 4 action at Target Field. Here’s a Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction. This article will include a Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians Pick.

Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview

The Cleveland Guardians are 68-49 on the year and play the Cubs and Brewers next. The Cleveland Guardians have scored 7 runs in their last 3 Games and 3 or fewer runs in 5 straight Games. The Cleveland Guardians have lost 5 of their last 6 Games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Jose Ramirez leads the Cleveland Guardians with 126 hits and 96 RBI, while Steven Kwan and Andres Gimenez have combined for 226 hits and 80 RBI.

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

The Minnesota Twins are 65-51 on the year and play the Royals and Rangers next. The Minnesota Twins have scored 11 runs in their last 3 Games and 4 or more runs in 4 of their last 8 Games. The Minnesota Twins have won 10 straight Games when scoring 4 or more runs. Willi Castro leads the Minnesota Twins with 108 hits and 41 RBI, while Carlos Santana and Jose Miranda have combined for 183 hits and 93 RBI.

Cleveland Guardians vs Minnesota Twins Pitching Pick Matchup

Tanner Bibee gets the ball for the Cleveland Guardians, and he is 9-4 with a 3.48 ERA and 132 strikeouts this season. Bibee has allowed 22 hits and 11 runs in his last 28.1 innings. Bibee has a 3.00 ERA and .224 allowed batting average in 63 road innings. Bibee is 1-0 with a 2.96 ERA and 35 strikeouts in his career against the Minnesota Twins.

David Festa gets the ball for the Minnesota Twins, and he is 2-2 with a 5.55 ERA and 30 strikeouts this season. Festa has allowed 5 hits and 2 runs in his last 10 innings. Festa has a 7.71 ERA and .317 allowed batting average in 9.1 home innings. This will be Festa’s first career Game against the Cleveland Guardians.

Why the Minnesota Twins will Beat the Guardians

  • The Twins have won each of their last five games as home underdogs following a home loss.
  • The Guardians have lost seven of their last eight games.
  • The Twins have covered the run line in each of their last six games as underdogs following a home loss.
  • The Guardians have failed to cover the run line each of their last four day games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Twins have led after 5 innings in five of their last six games as underdogs against AL Central opponents.
  • The Guardians have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last eight day games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Twins have won the first inning in each of their last four games as home underdogs against American League opponents.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

  • Byron Buxton has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances in day games.
  • Max Kepler has scored at least one run in eight of the Twins’ last nine day games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Willi Castro has recorded at least one Single in eight of the Twins’ last nine day games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Byron Buxton has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Twins’ last six day games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Jose Miranda has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
  • Carlos Correa has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances with the Twins as underdogs against AL opponents.
  • Carlos Correa has recorded two RBIs in each of his last four appearances with the Twins as underdogs.

Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts

  • Jose Ramirez has hit at least one home run in four of the Guardians’ last five games as favorites.
  • Josh Naylor has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Guardians’ last four games as favorites against AL opponents.
  • Josh Naylor has scored at least one run in each of the Guardians’ last six games as road favorites.
  • Jose Ramirez has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Guardians’ last six games as favorites.
  • Andres Gimenez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Guardians’ last 11 games as road favorites.
  • Will Brennan has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six appearances at Target Field.
  • Steven Kwan ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.326) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Minnesota Twins rank 2nd in the league for doubles this season (231).
  • The Minnesota Twins rank 2nd in the league for strikeouts this season (1062).
  • The Cleveland Guardians rank 4th in the league for strikeouts against this season (855).
  • The Cleveland Guardians rank 4th in the league for hits allowed this season (905).

Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction

The Cleveland Guardians have been extremely profitable for MLB bettors this season, but there’s no denying this has been a rough week for them. Also, Tanner Bibee will pitch for the first time in two weeks, so who knows how much potential rust there’s going to be. The Minnesota Twins are playing the better baseball at the moment, and they’re at home. With a cheap pick em price, I’m going to side with the Twins.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Minnesota Twins -101

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