The Detroit Tigers (52-54) welcome the Minnesota Twins (57-46) to Comerica Park Sunday for the finale of their 3-game series. First pitch is set for 1:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Twins vs. Tigers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Tied 6-6
Minnesota lost 7-2 Saturday after opening the series with a 9-3 win Friday. The Twins have won 3 of their last 5 games, yet only 3 of their last 8. Minnesota is 4-4 against the spread (ATS) in its last 8 and is 48-54 ATS on the season. The Twins are 28-25 straight up and 28-25 ATS on the road.
The Tigers, who are 25-25 straight up and 22-28 ATS at home this season, have won 2 of their last 5 games. They are 7-4 over their last 11 and have won 3 of their last 4 at home. Detroit has exceeded expectations against divisional opponents, having won 19 of 35 games against AL Central foes.
Twins at Tigers projected starters
RHP Bailey Ober vs. Undecided
Ober (9-5, 4.04 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.06 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 in 107 IP.
- Last start: Win, 7 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 7-2 home win over the Philadelphia Phillies Monday
- 2024 away splits: 4-4, 4.67 ERA (61 2/3 IP, 32 ER), 1.05 WHIP,92 HR, 8.9 K/9 in 11 starts
- Career vs. Tigers: 3-2, 3.91 ERA (53 IP, 23 ER), 1.25 WHIP, 9.5 K/9 in 10 starts
Tigers starting pitcher has yet to be announced, but RHP Alex Faedo (5-1, 3.47 ERA) may get the nod.
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Twins at Tigers odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Twins -176 (bet $176 to win $100) | Tigers +148 (bet $100 to win $148)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Twins -1.5 (-105) | Tigers +1.5 (-114)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)
Twins at Tigers picks and predictions
Prediction
Twins 5, Tigers 4
Moneyline
PASS.
Ober is a strong starting option, and the Twins should be able to get the win behind their talented starter. However, they are too expensive (-176) to take on the moneyline, and the better route is to play the Tigers (+148) on the spread.
Avoid a moneyline play.
Run line/Against the spread
BET TIGERS +1.5 (-114).
Despite Ober’s strength over the last month, the Twins offense has been too unreliable. In games Ober has started, the Twins are 10-9 and have won 2 of those by 1 run. The Twins are 5-7 over their last 12 games, but the better point is that they’ve scored 4 or fewer in 8 of those 12.
They don’t have the stability offensively to assume they can cover as a road favorite. Detroit has the 5th-best covering rate as a home underdog at 12-6 ATS as well. Considering those trends, take TIGERS +1.5 (-114).
Over/Under
BET OVER 8 (-115).
The Tigers have been an Over-hitting machine this season and are 58-44-3 O/U. They have gone Over in 7 of their last 9 Games and have tallied at least 4 runs in 8 of their last 11 Games.
The Twins have scored at least 7 runs in 3 of their last 6 games and are 6-1 O/U in their last 7. Minnesota is 52-48-2 O/U this season. The Twins are 2-1 O/U throughout Ober’s last 3 starts and 3-2 O/U in his last 5.
Take OVER 8 (-115).
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