MLB

Milwaukee Brewers vs NY Mets Prediction 10-1-24 MLB Picks

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1m ago

Oct 01, 2024 / 4274 Views

Evan Walker

NY Mets (89-73) vs. Milwaukee Brewers (93-69)
October 1, 2024 5:32 pm EDT
The Line: Milwaukee Brewers -140 / NY Mets +120; Over/Under: +7.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The NY Mets and Milwaukee Brewers meet Tuesday in MLB Game 1 NL Wild Card at American Family Field. Here’s a Milwaukee Brewers vs NY Mets Prediction. This article will include a Milwaukee Brewers vs NY Mets Pick.

NY Mets Betting Preview

The NY Mets are 89-73 on the year after playing the Brewers and Braves. The NY Mets have scored 13 runs in their last 3 Games and 4 or more runs in 4 of their last 8 Games. The NY Mets have won 3 of their last 4 Games when scoring 4 or more runs. Francisco Lindor leads the NY Mets with 169 hits and 91 RBI, while Pete Alonso and Brandon Nimmo have combined for 274 hits and 178 RBI.

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers are 93-69 on the year after playing the Pirates and Mets. The Milwaukee Brewers have scored 14 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 7 games. The Milwaukee Brewers have won 5 straight games when scoring 4 or more runs. William Contreras leads the Milwaukee Brewers with 167 hits and 92 RBI, while Willy Adames and Jackson Chourio have combined for 298 hits and 191 RBI.

NY Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers Pitching Pick Matchup

Luis Severino gets the ball for the NY Mets, and he is 11-7 with a 3.91 ERA and 161 strikeouts this season. Severino is 1-4 with a 5.15 ERA and 44 strikeouts in his postseason career. Severino is 0-1 with a 4.50 ERA and 21 strikeouts in his career against the Milwaukee Brewers.

Freddy Peralta gets the ball for the Milwaukee Brewers, and he is 11-9 with a 3.68 ERA and 200 strikeouts this season. Peralta is 0-1 with a 3.46 ERA and 17 strikeouts in his postseason career. Peralta is 3-0 with a 2.60 ERA and 20 strikeouts in his career against the NY Mets.

Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win

The Mets have lost each of their last 11 games as road underdogs against the Brewers following a road loss.
The Brewers have won 14 of their last 16 day games against National League opponents following a home loss.
The Brewers have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games against the Mets.
The Mets have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six playoff games.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

Sal Frelick has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances with the Brewers as favorites against NL opponents.
Rhys Hoskins has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances in day playoff games.
Rhys Hoskins has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last five appearances in day playoff games.
Rhys Hoskins has recorded at least one hit in 16 of his last 17 appearances against NL East opponents.
Jackson Chourio has recorded at least one Single in each of the Brewers’ last six games against the Mets.
Christian Yelich has scored a run in 12 of his last 13 home appearances after not playing the previous day.
Rhys Hoskins has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances in day playoff games.
Brice Turang ranks 3rd in the league in Steals (50) this season.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

Brandon Nimmo has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Mets’ last six day games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
Francisco Lindor has scored at least one run in each of his last five appearances in day playoff games.
Brandon Nimmo has recorded at least one total base in each of the Mets’ last eight day games against opponents that held a winning record.
Jose Iglesias has recorded at least one Single in each of the Mets’ last 11 day games.
Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one hit in 17 of his last 18 appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
Harrison Bader has hit a home run in four of his last five playoff appearances after playing the previous day.

Matchup/League Facts

The Milwaukee Brewers rank 2nd in the league for steals this season (217).
The Milwaukee Brewers rank 3rd in the league for walks this season (597).
The New York Mets rank 2nd in the league for opponent batting average this season (.230).
The New York Mets rank 28th in the league for walks allowed this season (586).

Milwaukee Brewers vs NY Mets Prediction

Tough spot for the NY Mets after playing a doubleheader yesterday to make the playoffs, catching a plane and now getting a quick turnaround here. Luis Severino has a 5.00 ERA and .255 allowed batting average in 84.2 road innings, and he hasn’t been good in his postseason career. Freddy Peralta has a 4.01 ERA and .231 allowed batting average at home, so it’s not like he’s unhittable. Still, the brewers are at home, rested, and they were the most profitable team in baseball. A $100 bettor is up more than $1,600 this season backing the Brewers. Give me the Brewers in Game 1 against the Mets.