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Miami Marlins vs San Diego Padres Prediction 8-9-24 MLB Picks

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San Diego Padres (64-52) vs. Miami Marlins (43-72)
August 9, 2024 7:10 pm EDT
The Line: Miami Marlins +116 / San Diego Padres -137; Over/Under: +8
(Get latest betting odds)

The San Diego Padres and Miami Marlins meet Friday in MLB Game 1 action at loanDepot park. Here’s a Miami Marlins vs San Diego Padres Prediction. This article will include a Miami Marlins vs San Diego Padres Pick.

San Diego Padres Betting Preview

The San Diego Padres are 64-52 on the year after playing the Rockies and Pirates. The San Diego Padres have scored 22 runs in their last 3 Games and 4 or more runs in 8 of their last 10 Games. The San Diego Padres have won 6 straight Games when scoring 4 or more runs. Jurickson Profar leads the San Diego Padres with 120 hits and 71 RBI, while Jackson Merrill and Manny Machado have combined for 227 hits and 124 RBI.

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 43-73 on the year after playing the Braves and Reds. The Miami Marlins have scored 12 runs in their last 3 Games and 4 or more runs in 4 of their last 8 Games. The Miami Marlins have won 6 of their last 7 Games when scoring 4 or more runs. Jake Burger leads the Miami Marlins with 86 hits and 49 RBI, while Jesus Sanchez and Nick Gordon have combined for 140 hits and 74 RBI.

San Diego Padres vs Miami Marlins Pitching Pick Matchup

Martin Perez gets the ball for the San Diego Padres, and he is 2-5 with a 4.96 ERA and 70 strikeouts this season. Perez has allowed 7 hits and 1 run in his last 12 innings. Perez has a 6.44 ERA and .329 allowed batting average in 36.1 road innings. Perez is 1-1 with a 3.12 ERA and 10 strikeouts in his career against the Miami Marlins.

Edward Cabrera gets the ball for the Miami Marlins, and he is 2-3 with a 5.96 ERA and 64 strikeouts this season. Cabrera has allowed 6 hits and 2 runs in his last 10 innings. Cabrera has a 5.14 ERA and .231 allowed batting average in 28 home innings. This will be Cabrera’s second career Game against the San Diego Padres.

Why the San Diego Padres will Beat the Marlins

  • The Padres have won each of their last eight games against National League opponents following a road win.
  • The Marlins have lost each of their last four night games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Padres have covered the run line each of their last five games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Marlins have failed to cover the run line each of their last four night games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Marlins have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four night games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Padres have led after 5 innings in each of their last six road games against National League opponents.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

  • Jake Burger has hit a home run in three of the Marlins’ last four night games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Jake Burger has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Marlins’ last six games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Jake Burger has recorded at least one Single in six of the Marlins’ last seven games against NL West opponents.
  • Jake Burger has scored a run in five of the Marlins’ last six night games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Jake Burger has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Marlins’ last seven night games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Edward Cabrera has recorded eight or more strikeouts in each of his last four home appearances against NL West opponents.
  • Jake Burger has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last 11 night games against NL opponents that held a winning record.

San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts

  • Jurickson Profar has hit a home run in each of the Padres’ last three night games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • Manny Machado has recorded a Double in each of the Padres’ last four night games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Jurickson Profar has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Padres’ last four night games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • Martin Perez has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances with his team as a road favorite against NL opponents .
  • Xander Bogaerts has scored at least one run in each of his last six road appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Martin Perez has recorded five or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances with his team as a favorite.
  • Xander Bogaerts has recorded at least one hit in each of the Padres’ last 11 road games.
  • Xander Bogaerts has recorded at least one total base in each of the Padres’ last 11 road games.
  • Luis Arraez has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 10 appearances with his team as a road favorite against NL East opponents.

Miami Marlins vs San Diego Padres Prediction

Martin Perez has been a disaster this season and isn’t a pitcher I’m thrilled to back. Edward Cabrera is also a young talented pitcher with above average stuff so you can make a case for the Marlins and the plus money. With that said, the Padres are one of the hottest teams in baseball, and they’re not only in the thick of the wild card race but now have a shot to steal the NL West. I’m not going to step in front of the Padres, especially against a Marlins team that’s gutted its roster. Give me the Padres and the cheap price. 

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: San Diego Padres -137

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