MLB

LA Dodgers vs San Diego Padres Prediction 10-6-24 MLB Picks

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1m ago

Oct 06, 2024 / 3976 Views

Evan Walker

San Diego Padres (95-70) vs. LA Dodgers (99-64)
October 6, 2024 8:03 pm EDT
The Line: LA Dodgers -161 / San Diego Padres +135; Over/Under: +8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The San Diego Padres and LA Dodgers meet Sunday in MLB Game 2 of the NLDS at Dodger Stadium. Here’s a LA Dodgers vs San Diego Padres Prediction. This article will include a LA Dodgers vs San Diego Padres Pick.

San Diego Padres Betting Preview

The San Diego Padres need a win if they want a real shot to play the winner of the Phillies – Mets. The Padres have lost just 10 Games since August 30. The San Diego Padres have scored 14 runs in their last 3 Games and 4 or more runs in 8 of their last 11 Games. The San Diego Padres have won 12 of their last 13 Games when scoring 4 or more runs. Fernando Tatis leads the San Diego Padres with 6 hits and 2 RBI while Luis Arraez and Kyle Higashioka have combined for 7 hits and 3 RBI.

LA Dodgers Betting Preview

The LA Dodgers have won 6 straight Games and can take complete control of the series with a 2-0 lead. The Dodgers have lost 3 Games since September 13. The LA Dodgers have scored 22 runs in their last 3 Games and 4 or more runs in 6 of their last 8 Games. The LA Dodgers have won 9 straight Games when scoring 4 or more runs. Tommy Edman leads the LA Dodgers with 2 hits, while Freddie Freeman and Gavin Lux have combined for 4 hits.

San Diego Padres vs LA Dodgers Pitching Pick Matchup

Yu Darvish gets the ball for the San Diego Padres, and he is 7-3 with a 3.31 ERA and 78 strikeouts this season. Darvish is 4-6 with a 4.19 ERA and 54 strikeouts in his postseason career. Darvish is 5-5 with a 2.27 ERA and 104 strikeouts in his career against the LA Dodgers.

Jack Flaherty gets the ball for the LA Dodgers, and he is 13-7 with a 3.17 ERA and 194 strikeouts this season. Flaherty is 1-3 with a 3.60 ERA and 31 strikeouts in his postseason career. Flaherty is 2-1 with a 4.45 ERA and 33 strikeouts in his career against the San Diego Padres.

Why the San Diego Padres will win

The Padres have won 10 of their last 11 night games following a road loss.
The Dodgers have lost six of their last seven playoff games against NL West opponents.
The Padres have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 road games against NL West opponents following a road loss.
The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven night playoff games.
The Padres have led after 3 innings in each of their last four games.

Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts

Jack Flaherty has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his nine previous appearances at Dodger Stadium.
Freddie Freeman has recorded at least one RBI in six of his last seven playoff appearances after playing the previous day.
Shohei Ohtani has recorded at least one total base in each of the Dodgers’ last 13 games against NL opponents.
Shohei Ohtani has recorded at least one Single in each of the Dodgers’ last six games.
Shohei Ohtani has scored at least one run in each of the Dodgers’ last eight home games.
Mookie Betts has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 Sunday night appearances.
Freddie Freeman has hit a home run in each of his last two home playoff appearances after playing the previous day.
Freddie Freeman has recorded a Double in four of his last five appearances against the Padres after playing the previous day.

San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts

Manny Machado has hit a home run in each of the Padres’ last two playoff games at Dodger Stadium.
Jackson Merrill has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances after playing the previous day.
Yu Darvish has recorded a win in each of his last five appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
Xander Bogaerts has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Padres’ last five games against the Dodgers.
Yu Darvish has recorded five or more strikeouts in nine of his last 10 road appearances against former teams.
Fernando Tatis Jr. has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 appearances against the Dodgers after playing the previous day.
Ha-Seong Kim has recorded a Single in seven of his last eight road appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
Luis Arraez has scored a run in each of his last five appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
Fernando Tatis Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against the Dodgers after playing the previous day.

Matchup/League Facts

The Los Angeles Dodgers rank 1st in the league for slugging percentage this season (.446).
The Los Angeles Dodgers rank 2nd in the league for runs scored this season (842).
The San Diego Padres rank 1st in the league for hits this season (1456).
The San Diego Padres rank 1st in the league for batting average this season (.263).

LA Dodgers vs San Diego Padres Prediction

The LA Dodgers are going to get the benefit of the doubt more times than not, especially at home. However, the value remains with the Padres and the plus money. The Padres have been one of the best teams since the second half, and they had their chances to win Game 1 but couldn’t close the deal. A five time all star in Yu Darvish should be more consistent on the mound, and he’s won 4 of his last 5 starts as an underdog. Jack Flaherty as been hittable in his last 3 starts, and the Padres recently had success against him. Current Padres are hitting .279 with a .402 on base percentage in 68 at bats. Give me the Padres and the more favorable price.