MLB

Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners Prediction 9-25-24 MLB Picks

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2m ago

Sep 25, 2024 / 2983 Views

Evan Walker

Seattle Mariners (81-77) vs. Houston Astros (86-72)
September 25, 2024 2:10 pm EDT
The Line: Houston Astros -147 / Seattle Mariners +124; Over/Under: +8
(Get latest betting odds)

The Seattle Mariners and Houston Astros meet Wednesday in MLB Game 3 action at Minute Maid Park. Here’s a Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners Prediction. This article will include a Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners Pick.

Seattle Mariners Betting Preview

The Seattle Mariners are 81-77 on the year and play the Athletics next. The Seattle Mariners have scored 14 runs in their last 3 Games and 4 or more runs in 7 of their last 11 Games. The Seattle Mariners have won 6 of their last 7 Games when scoring 4 or more runs. Julio Rodriguez leads the Seattle Mariners with 151 hits and 65 RBI while al Raleigh and Luke Raley have combined for 211 hits and 151 RBI.

Houston Astros Betting Preview

The Houston Astros are 86-72 on the year and play the Guardians next. The Houston Astros have scored 13 runs in their last 3 Games and 4 or more runs in 6 of their last 10 Games. The Houston Astros have won 5 of their last 6 Games when scoring 4 or more runs. Jose Altuve leads the Houston Astros with 183 hits and 65 RBI while Yainer Diaz and Yordan Alvarez have combined for 344 hits and 170 RBI.

Seattle Mariners vs Houston Astros Pitching Pick Matchup

George Kirby gets the ball for the Seattle Mariners, and he is 13-11 with a 3.60 ERA and 173 strikeouts this season. Kirby has allowed 19 hits and 9 runs in his last 24 innings. Kirby has a 4.03 ERA and a .256 allowed batting average in 102.2 road innings. Kirby is 2-0 with a 1.56 ERA and 31 strikeouts in his career against the Houston Astros.

Yusei Kikuchi gets the ball for the Houston Astros, and he is 9-9 with a 4.19 ERA and 198 strikeouts this season. Kikuchi has allowed 15 hits and 8 runs in his last 19 innings. Kikuchi has a 4.13 ERA and a .246 allowed batting average in 98 home innings. Kikuchi is 1-0 with a 0.52 ERA and 23 strikeouts in his career against the Seattle Mariners.

Why the Seattle Mariners will win

The Mariners have won each of their last four games at Minute Maid Park following a road loss.
The Astros have lost each of their last six games as underdogs against AL West opponents following a home win.
The Mariners have covered the run line in each of their last nine games at Minute Maid Park against teams that held a winning record.
The Astros have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games as underdogs against the Mariners following a home win.
The Mariners have led after 3 innings in each of their last five games at Minute Maid Park against American League opponents that held a winning record.
The Mariners have led after 5 innings in each of their last five-day games against the Astros at Minute Maid Park.

Houston Astros Player Prop Facts

Jeremy Pena has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances with the Astros as home underdogs against AL opponents.
Jason Heyward has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances against the Mariners.
Yainer Diaz has recorded two or more total bases in each of his eight previous Wednesday-day appearances at Minute Maid Park.
Jose Altuve has recorded at least one Single in each of his last nine appearances with the Astros as underdogs against the Mariners.
Yusei Kikuchi has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last four home appearances against AL opponents.
Jose Altuve has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances with the Astros as underdogs against the Mariners.
Ben Gamel has scored a run in each of his last eight appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
Yusei Kikuchi has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances.
Jason Heyward has hit a home run in each of his last four appearances against the Mariners.
Yainer Diaz ranks 7th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.302) this season.

Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts

Randy Arozarena has recorded a Double in three of the Mariners’ last four road games against opponents that held a winning record.
Randy Arozarena has recorded an RBI in five of his last six road appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
George Kirby has recorded a win in seven of his last eight appearances with the Mariners as road favorites against AL West opponents.
J.P. Crawford has recorded a Single in each of his last nine appearances in day games against AL teams that held a winning record.
Julio Rodriguez has scored at least one run in each of the Mariners’ last six games at Minute Maid Park against opponents that held a winning record.
George Kirby has recorded six or more strikeouts in six of his last eight appearances with the Mariners as favorites against AL West opponents.
Julio Rodriguez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 20 appearances with the Mariners as road favorites.
Mitch Garver has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 road appearances against the Astros after playing the previous day.
Cal Raleigh has hit a home run in three of his last five appearances in day games.
Victor Robles ranks T10th in the league in Steals (32) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

The Houston Astros rank 1st in the league for hits this season (1416).
The Houston Astros rank 2nd in the league for strikeouts this season (1439).
The Seattle Mariners rank 30th in the league for strikeouts against this season (1582).
The Seattle Mariners rank 1st in the league for ERA this season (3.51).

Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners Prediction

The Houston Astros should be favored for obvious reasons, but they were partying last night after winning the AL West and now have an afternoon Game. Not great. The Seattle Mariners didn’t have any fun last night and are still fighting for their wild-card lives, even if they’re getting slimmer with every loss. You can also argue George Kirby has had a better season than Kikuchi. The value in this spot is with the Mariners and the plus money. I’ll take it.