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Houston Astros vs Boston Red Sox Prediction 8-20-24 MLB Picks

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Boston Red Sox (65-58) vs. Houston Astros (67-56)
August 20, 2024 8:10 pm EDT
The Line: Houston Astros -125 / Boston Red Sox +106; Over/Under: +8
(Get latest betting odds)

The Boston Red Sox and the Houston Astros meet Tuesday in MLB action from Minute Maid Park. Here’s a Houston Astros vs Boston Red Sox prediction. This will be the second installment in a three-Game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Astros vs Red Sox pick.

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

Over the weekend the Red Sox took on the rival Baltimore Orioles. Boston was able to win two out of those four Games for a stalemate. On Monday versus Houston, the Sox took a tough walk-off loss 5-4. Tanner Houck put up 6.0 innings and two earned in the start.

In the starter slot for Tuesday the Red Sox are going with Nick Pivetta. This year Pivetta is 5-8 with a 4.49 ERA in 19 starts. Pivetta is 55-67 with a 4.82 ERA in 215 career Games (171 starts).

Houston Astros Betting Preview

Over on the Astros’ side, they played the Chicago White Sox in their last series. Houston lost the opener of that set but won the other two games. On Monday the Astros got the walk-off win courtesy of Yainer Diaz. Starter Yusei Kikuchi lasted 5.2 innings with two earned runs.

Starter for Tuesday will be Ronel Blanco. So far Blanco is 9-6 with a 2.89 ERA in 23 starts. In 47 career Games (30 starts) Blanco is 11-7 with a 3.46 ERA.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Astros’ last six games as favorites against the Red Sox have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Eight of the Red Sox’s last nine night games against AL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last eight night games between the Red Sox and Astros.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Red Sox’s last seven games at Minute Maid Park.

Houston Astros Player Prop Facts

  • Yordan Alvarez has recorded a Double in each of the Astros’ last four night games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Alex Bregman has scored at least one run in each of his last six appearances against the Red Sox.
  • Alex Bregman has hit a home run in four of his last five appearances against AL East opponents.
  • Jon Singleton has recorded at least one RBI in six of the Astros’ last seven night games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Alex Bregman has recorded at least one Single in each of his last nine home appearances against the Red Sox.
  • Alex Bregman has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 13 appearances against the Red Sox.
  • Alex Bregman has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances against the Red Sox.
  • Yordan Alvarez ranks 4th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.399) this season.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

  • Wilyer Abreu has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances against the Astros.
  • Masataka Yoshida has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Red Sox’s last four games as underdogs.
  • Rafael Devers has scored at least one run in each of the Red Sox’s last five road games against AL West opponents.
  • Jarren Duran has recorded at least one Single in nine of the Red Sox’s last 10 road games against AL West opponents.
  • Nick Pivetta has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his three previous appearances with his team as an underdog against the Astros.
  • Masataka Yoshida has recorded at least one hit in each of the Red Sox’s last nine games as underdogs.
  • Jarren Duran has hit a home run in each of the Red Sox’s last two road games against AL West opponents.
  • David Hamilton ranks T5th in the league in Steals (31) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Houston Astros rank 2nd in the league for opponent batting average this season (.230).
  • The Houston Astros rank 2nd in the league for hits allowed this season (946).
  • The Boston Red Sox rank 1st in the league for doubles this season (247).
  • The Boston Red Sox rank 2nd in the league for hits this season (1134).

Houston Astros vs Boston Red Sox Prediction

I’ll lean toward Houston. This should be a pretty good matchup, though. Blanco is just 0-1 in his last three starts but he hasn’t been pitching too badly. In that time Blanco has four earned in 15.0 total frames. As for Pivetta, he’s got eight earned runs in 16.1 total innings over his last three starts, going 1-1 in that time.

On Tuesday the Astros came back from deficits of 2-0 and 4-2 to bag the win. The 13 team hits were nice, as were the last couple arms in the bullpen (Caleb Ferguson and Josh Hader). I like Houston to keep it up in Game two.

Andrew's Free Pick: Houston Astros -125

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