Houston Astros vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction 9-8-24 MLB Picks

The Arizona Diamondbacks and the Houston Astros meet Sunday in MLB action from Minute Maid Park. Here’s a Houston Astros vs Arizona Diamondbacks prediction. This will be the final installment in a three-Game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Astros vs Diamondbacks pick.

Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview

In their early-week series the Diamondbacks took on the San Francisco Giants. Arizona won two of those three Games, taking a Thursday loss 3-2. In the opener versus Houston on Friday, the Diamondbacks took another defeat 8-0. On Saturday Arizona took an 11-5 loss. Starter Eduardo Rodriguez finished with 4.0 innings and four earned runs.

In the starter role for the Diamondbacks on Sunday it’ll be Ryne Nelson. So far Nelson is 10-6 with a 4.15 ERA in 26 Games (24 starts). Nelson is 19-15 with a 4.54 ERA in 58 career Games (54 starts).

Houston Astros Betting Preview

Over on the Astros’ side, they played the Cincinnati Reds in their last series. Houston lost all three of those Games in a sweep. In Saturday’s matchup the Astros posted 13 team hits and five runs in the sixth inning alone.

It’ll be Justin Verlander in the start for the Astros on Sunday. This year Verlander is 3-5 with a 4.52 ERA in 13 starts. Verlander is 260-146 with a 3.27 ERA in 522 career starts.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Diamondbacks’ last seven night games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the last six games between the Diamondbacks and Astros at Minute Maid Park have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Astros’ last eight home games against National League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Diamondbacks’ last four games as underdogs against AL West opponents.

Houston Astros Player Prop Facts

• Alex Bregman has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances in night games against NL West teams that held a winning record.
• Jose Altuve has recorded at least one Double in each of the Astros’ last three games against NL West opponents at Minute Maid Park.
• Justin Verlander has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
• Ben Gamel has scored a run in each of his last eight appearances with his team as a home favorite.
• Yainer Diaz has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Astros’ last six games as home favorites against NL opponents.
• Kyle Tucker has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last eight Sunday appearances against NL teams that held a winning record.
• Justin Verlander has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last seven home appearances against NL West opponents.
• Jose Altuve has recorded at least one Single in eight of the Astros’ last nine games as favorites against NL West opponents.
• Yordan Alvarez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances with the Astros as home favorites.
• Yordan Alvarez ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.398) this season.

Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts

• Ketel Marte has hit a home run in four of his last five appearances in night games against AL teams that held a winning record.
• Christian Walker has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last six Sunday appearances against AL teams that held a winning record.
• Ryne Nelson has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances in night games.
• Corbin Carroll has scored at least one run in 15 of the Diamondbacks’ last 16 night games.
• Gabriel Moreno has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven appearances in night games.
• Gabriel Moreno has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine appearances in night games.
• Eugenio Suarez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Diamondbacks’ last nine games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Ketel Marte ranks 9th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.551) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Houston Astros rank 2nd in the league for batting average this season (.261).
• The Houston Astros rank T2nd in the league for strikeouts this season (1297).
• The Arizona Diamondbacks rank 1st in the league for runs scored this season (770).
• The Arizona Diamondbacks rank 1st in the league for RBI’s this season (732).

Houston Astros vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction

I’ll try the Diamondbacks in this one. Probably not touching it in reality, though. Nelson has been pretty steady over his last three starts. He’s 2-0 in that trio with six earned runs in 19.0 total innings. As for Verlander, he’s been struggling with 11 earned runs over 14.2 innings in his last three starts, resulting in an 0-3 run.

On Saturday the Diamondbacks didn’t have too bad of a night offensively with 10 team hits. Arizona had a couple of rough pitching performances though, as Rodriguez and Dylan Floro combined for nine earned runs. The Diamondbacks will need quite the turnaround Sunday.