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Detroit Tigers vs Houston Astros Prediction 5-11-24 Picks

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Houston Astros (14-24) vs. Detroit Tigers (19-19)
May 11, 2024 6:10 pm EDT
The Line: Detroit Tigers -127 / Houston Astros +107; Over/Under: +7.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Houston Astros and the Detroit Tigers meet Saturday in MLB action from Comerica Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this Game. Here’s a Detroit Tigers vs Houston Astros Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Astros will trot out Cristian Javier here for his return from the IL and Javier is 2-0 with a 1.54 ERA and 18 strikeouts this season. In his career, Javier is 2-0 with a 0.75 ERA and 13 strikeouts against Detroit. The Tigers will be sending Tarik Skubal to the mound here and Skubal is 4-0 with a 1.90 ERA and 53 strikeouts this season. In his career, Skubal is 0-0 with a 2.08 ERA and 18 strikeouts against Houston.

Houston Astros Recap

The Houston Astros come into this one looking to build on their series- opening 5-2 win over the Tigers on Friday. The win carried over some momentum from salvaging a win in their series finale against the Yankees as well as a split with the Mariners in the series before that.

Astros Starting To Pick It Up At The Plate

Jose Altuve leads the Astros with 51 hits and a .325 batting average with 7 home runs and 9 doubles while Kyle Tucker has a team-high 12 homers with 7 doubles and 26 RBIs. Yordan Alvarez also has 8 homers with 20 RBIs while Altuve has the Astros’ team lead with 7 stolen bases so far this season.

Detroit Tigers Recap

The Detroit Tigers will be out to rebound from a frustrating loss to the Astros to start the weekend series on Friday. The Tigers didn’t want to start the series with a loss after series losses to the Guardians and Yankees in the last week.

Tigers Slumping At The Dish

Riley Greene leads the Tigers with 35 hits including 9 home runs and 17 RBIs along with a .254 batting average and a .370 OBP this season. Spencer Torkelson has a team-high 13 doubles along with 12 RBIs while Greene has a team-high 44 strikeouts this season. Mark Canha has 8 doubles, 5 home runs and 16 RBI and Javier Baez has a team-high 6 stolen bases.

Why the Detroit Tigers will win

  • The Astros have lost each of their last six Saturday night games against American League opponents.
  • The Tigers have won five of their last six games following a home loss.
  • The Astros have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six Saturday night games.
  • The favorites have covered the run line in four of the last five games between the Astros and Tigers.
  • The Tigers have led after 3 innings in each of their last three home games.
  • The Tigers have led after 5 innings in each of their last five home games.

Why the Houston Astros will win

  • The Astros have won each of their last nine games against the Tigers following a win.
  • The Tigers have lost 13 of their last 15 games as home favorites against AL West opponents.
  • The Astros have covered the run line in each of their last nine games as underdogs against the Tigers.
  • The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in 14 of their last 15 games as home favorites against AL West opponents.
  • The Tigers have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five Saturday games as favorites.
  • The Tigers have lost the first inning in three of their last four games as favorites against AL West opponents.
  • The Tigers have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five Saturday games as favorites.

Detroit Tigers vs Houston Astros Prediction

I’m on the under here. I think this has potential to be an out-and-out pitcher’s duel. Javier has had success against the Tigers in his career, and the Tigers have really been scuffling at the plate. It has been a big reason as to why this team has been struggling like nobody’s Business over the last week. On the other side, Tarik Skubal’s been one of the best starters in the AL this season, and he’s been able to shut down lineups as tough as Houston’s all year long. Should be an awesome pitching matchup, so give me the under.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Under 7.5

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