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Denver Nuggets vs Utah Jazz Prediction 11-2-24 NBA Picks

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Utah Jazz (0-5) vs. Denver Nuggets (2-3)
November 2, 2024 10:00 pm EDT
The Line: Denver Nuggets -9.5; Over/Under: +218.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Utah Jazz take a trip to the Ball Arena to do battle with the Denver Nuggets on Saturday night. Here’s a Denver Nuggets vs Utah Jazz Prediction. This article will include a Denver Nuggets vs Utah Jazz Pick.

Utah Jazz

The Utah Jazz have really struggled so far this season as they’ve lost their first five games and they didn’t look good at all during their 106-88 loss to the Spurs on Thursday. Collin Sexton led the team in scoring with just 16 points off the bench, Keyonte George added 15 points with five assists while Kyle Filipowski chipped in with 12 points on five of eight shooting. As a team, the Jazz shot just 39 percent from the field and seven of 32 from the 3-point line as they set the tone with 30 points in the first quarter to take an early 11-point lead, but they couldn’t maintain that effort, especially in the third quarter where they managed just 14 points to allow the Spurs to snatch the game from them.

Denver Nuggets

Meanwhile, the Denver Nuggets were aiming for a third straight victory before they got stopped in their tracks by the Timberwolves in a 119-116 road defeat last night. Aaron Gordon led the team in scoring with 31 points and 11 rebounds, Nikola Jokic tallied 26 points with nine rebounds and 13 assists while Michael Porter Jr tallied 26 points on 11 of 18 shooting. As a team, the Nuggets shot 44 percent from the field and 11 of 32 from the 3-point line as they looked to be in full control when they turned a 16-point deficit into a 10-point lead in the fourth quarter, only to go ice-cold and score just four points in the final 4:00 to allow the Timberwolves to snatch the game away in the end. The Nuggets will face the Raptors following this one.

Why the Denver Nuggets will win

  • The Jazz have lost each of their last 14 road games against Western Conference opponents following a loss.
  • The home team has won eight of the last nine games between the Jazz and Nuggets.
  • The Jazz have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.
  • The Nuggets have covered the spread in three of their last four home games against Jazz teams that held a losing record.

Total Points Facts

  • Seven of the last eight night games between the Jazz and Nuggets have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Thirteen of the Jazz’s last 15 night games at Ball Arena have gone UNDER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Nuggets rank 30th in the league for opponent assists per game this season (30.8).
  • The Nuggets rank 30th in the league for opponent blocks per game this season (8.0).
  • The Jazz rank 30th in the league for points per game this season (99.2).
  • The Jazz rank 30th in the league for point differential per game this season (-17.2).

Denver Nuggets vs Utah Jazz Prediction

The Jazz are still missing Lauri Markkanen and Jordan Clarkson, while the Nuggets have Jamal Murray listed on the injury report. The Jazz have been the coldest team in the league so far this season and it’s just tough for them to stay competitive with two of their best scorers sidelined. The Nuggets have yet to hit their stride this season and they are playing their second game of a back-to-back set, but the Nuggets badly need a win to get back on track and I think that’s what we will see here.

Peter Tran's Free Pick: Denver -9.5

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