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Dallas Stars vs Edmonton Oilers Prediction 5-23-24 Picks

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Edmonton Oilers (57-30-7) vs. Dallas Stars (60-25-10)
May 23, 2024 8:30 pm EDT
The Line: Dallas Stars -123 / Edmonton Oilers +109; Over/Under: +6
(Get latest betting odds)

The Edmonton Oilers and the Dallas Stars meet Wednesday in Game 1 Western Conference NHL Playoffs Conference Finals action at the American Airlines Center. Here’s an Dallas Stars vs Edmonton Oilers Prediction.

Playoff Preview

The Oilers booked their spot in the conference finals after a win in Game 7 over the Canucks, while the Stars punched their ticket with a series win in 6 Games over the Colorado Avalanche. Dallas won the season series between the two teams with a 4-3 win on November 2nd, before Edmonton’s 4-3 OT win on February 17th. Dallas won the season series finale/rubber match 5-0 in Dallas on April 3rd.

Edmonton Oilers Player Stats

Connor McDavid leads the Oilers in scoring with 132 points including a team-high 100 assists while Leon Draisaitl has 106 points with 41 goals and 65 assists. Zach Hyman has 77 points with a team-high 54 goals while Evan Bouchard has 82 points with 18 goals and 64 assists as well. Evander Kane has 44 points with 24 goals and Ryan Nugent-Hopkins has 67 points with 49 assists this season. Stuart Skinner is 36-16-5 with a 2.62 GAA and a .905 save percentage while Calvin Pickard is 12-7-1 with a 2.45 GAA and a .909 save percentage this season.

Why the Edmonton Oilers will win

  • The underdogs have won each of the Stars’ last four games.
  • The Stars have lost each of their last six Game 1s of a playoff series.
  • The Stars have failed to cover the puck line in nine of their last 10 night games at American Airlines Center.
  • The underdogs have covered the puck line in eight of the Oilers’ last nine games.
  • The road team has won the third period in each of the Stars’ last six games.

Dallas Stars Player Stats

Jason Robertson leads the Stars in scoring with 80 points including a team-high 51 assists while Joe Pavelski has 67 points with 27 goals and 40 assists. Roope Hintz has 65 points with 30 goals of his own and 35 assists and Matt Duchene has 65 points with 40 assists. Wyatt Johnston also has 65 points with a team-high 32 goals and 33 assists. Jake Oettinger has posted an 35-14-4 record in goal for Dallas with a 2.72 GAA and a .905 save percentage while Scott Wedgewood is 16-7-5 with a 2.85 GAA and an .899 save percentage.

Why the Dallas Stars will win

  • The Oilers have lost eight of their last nine Game 1s of a playoff series.
  • The Stars have won eight of their last nine night games following a road win.
  • The Oilers have failed to cover the puck line in 10 of their last 11 night games against Central Division opponents.
  • The Stars have covered the puck line in four of their last five games against Western Conference opponents.
  • The Oilers have lost the second period in each of their last four road games against Central Division opponents.

Dallas Stars vs Edmonton Oilers Prediction

I’m on the Stars here. All due respect to the Oilers and how they rallied in that series to knock off the Canucks, but the Stars I think are just on another level right now. I think the end of that series was more about Vancouver crumbling under the pressure. Dallas looks poised and confident after their series win over the Avs and in my eyes. The Oilers have the best players on the ice in McDavid and Draisaitl, I feel that the Stars are the deeper team and Dallas has a clear edge in goaltending as well. I’ll roll with Dallas to draw first blood in Game one here.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Dallas -123

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