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Dallas Mavericks vs Indiana Pacers Prediction 11-4-24 NBA Picks

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Indiana Pacers (2-4) vs. Dallas Mavericks (4-2)
November 4, 2024 9:45 pm EDT
The Line: Dallas Mavericks -4.5; Over/Under: +233.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Indiana Pacers pay a visit to the Dallas Mavericks at the American Airlines Center on Monday night. Here’s a Dallas Mavericks vs Indiana Pacers Prediction. This article will include a Dallas Mavericks vs Indiana Pacers Pick.

Indiana Pacers

The Indiana Pacers could really do with a win as they’ve lost four of their last five games after getting beaten by the Pelicans in a 125-118 road defeat on Friday. Ben Sheppard led the team in scoring with 20 points off the bench, Bennedict Mathurin added 19 points, Pascal Siakam scored 16 points with six assists while Tyrese Haliuburton chipped in with 11 points and 11 assists. As a team, the Pacers shot 51 percent from the field and 16 of 38 from the 3-point line, but in a close contest, it was the Pelicans’ starters who outplayed the Pacers’ starters down the stretch. Haliburton continued his poor form as he shot just two of eight from the field while Obi Toppin scored just seven points off the bench.

Dallas Mavericks

Meanwhile, the Dallas Mavericks are starting to heat up as they’ve won three of their last four games and they will be eager to maintain their momentum after making light work of the Magic in a 108-85 home win last night. Luka Doncic caught fire with 25 points in the first half to finish with 32 points, nine rebounds and seven assists, Daniel Gafford added 18 points while Kyrie Irving chipped in with 17 points. As a team, the Mavericks shot 49 percent from the field and 10 of 32 from the 3-point line as they dominated from the start, outscoring the Magic by 65-40 in the first half, allowing them to cruise in the second half unchallenged.

Why the Dallas Mavericks will win

  • The Mavericks have won 14 of their last 15 games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Pacers have lost seven of their last eight road games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Mavericks have covered the spread in each of their last eight games on the second leg of a back-to-back against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • The Pacers have failed to cover the spread in three of their last four games against Southwest Division opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the Mavericks’ last nine home night games following a home win have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Each of the Pacers’ last eight games as underdogs following a road loss have gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Mavericks rank 1st in the league for opponent steals per game this season (5.5).
  • The Mavericks rank T29th in the league for free throws made per game this season (14.5).
  • The Pacers rank 1st in the league for opponent assists per game this season (22.2).
  • The Pacers rank 30th in the league for opponent offensive rebounds per game this season (14.5).

Dallas Mavericks vs Indiana Pacers Prediction

The Pacers are still missing Aaron Nesmith and Isaiah Jackson, while the Mavericks have ruled out Maxi Kleber and Dante Exum once again. The Pacers have really struggled so far this season and their confidence took another gut shot after losing to the shorthanded Pelicans in their last outing. Meanwhile, the Mavericks are a team on the rise and they looked great in their dominant win over the Magic in their last outing. The Mavericks are playing their second game of a back to back set, but last night game was at home, so I am still comfortable taking them to stay hot with another win and cover against this stumbling Pacers squad.

Peter Tran's Free Pick: Dallas -4.5

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