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Chicago Cubs vs NY Mets Prediction 6-23-24 Picks

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NY Mets (36-39) vs. Chicago Cubs (37-40)
June 23, 2024 7:10 pm EDT
The Line: Chicago Cubs -106 / NY Mets -111; Over/Under: +7.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The NY Mets and Chicago Cubs meet Sunday in MLB Game 3 action at Wrigley Field. Here’s a Chicago Cubs vs NY Mets Prediction. This article will include a Chicago Cubs vs NY Mets Pick.

NY Mets Betting Preview

The NY Mets are 36-39 on the year and play the Yankees and Astros next. The NY Mets have scored 15 runs in their last 3 Games and 4 or more runs in 6 of their last 10 Games. The NY Mets have won 10 straight Games when scoring 4 or more runs. Francisco Lindor leads the NY Mets with 73 hits and 37 RBI, while Pete Alonso and Starling Marte have combined for 139 hits and 72 RBI.

Chicago Cubs Betting Preview

The Chicago Cubs are 37-40 on the year and play the Giants and Brewers next. The Chicago Cubs have scored 15 runs in their last 3 Games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 7 Games. The Chicago Cubs have won 6 of their last 7 Games when scoring 4 or more runs. Cody Bellinger leads the Chicago Cubs with 67 hits and 33 RBI, while Ian Happ and Nico Hoerner have combined for 118 hits and 57 RBI.

NY Mets vs Chicago Cubs Pitching Pick Matchup

Luis Severino gets the ball for the NY Mets, and he is 4-2 with a 3.52 ERA and 61 strikeouts this season. Severino has allowed 22 hits and 8 runs in his last 20.1 innings. Severino has a 4.86 ERA and .237 allowed batting average in 37 road innings. Severino is 0-0 with a 1.29 ERA and 24 strikeouts in his career against the Chicago Cubs.

Javier Assad gets the ball for the Chicago Cubs, and he is 4-2 with a 2.75 ERA and 79 strikeouts this season. Assad has allowed 17 hits and 8 runs in his last 15.1 innings. Assad has a 1.69 ERA and .213 allowed batting average in 37.1 home innings. Assad is 1-0 with a 1.59 ERA and 8 strikeouts in his career against the NY Mets.

Why the Chicago Cubs will win

  • The Mets have lost eight of their last nine night games at Wrigley Field following a loss.
  • The Cubs have won seven of their last eight night games against the Mets at Wrigley Field following a home win.
  • The Mets have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five night games against National League opponents.
  • The Cubs have covered the run line in six of their last eight home games against the Mets.

Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts

  • Dansby Swanson has hit a home run in three of his last five home appearances against the Mets after playing the previous day.
  • Dansby Swanson has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last seven home appearances against the Mets after playing the previous day.
  • Dansby Swanson has scored a run in each of his last six home appearances against the Mets after playing the previous day.
  • Seiya Suzuki has recorded at least one Single in 12 of his last 13 appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a losing record.
  • Dansby Swanson has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last six home appearances against the Mets after playing the previous day.
  • Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one hit in each of his 10 previous home appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

  • Luis Severino has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last eight Sunday appearances with his team as an underdog.
  • Brandon Nimmo has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 road appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
  • J.D. Martinez has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 10 road appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Brandon Nimmo has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 15 road appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Brandon Nimmo has scored at least one run in eight of the Mets’ last nine games.
  • Brandon Nimmo has hit a home run in each of the Mets’ last three games as underdogs against NL Central opponents.
  • J.D. Martinez has recorded at least one RBI in seven of the Mets’ last eight games as underdogs against NL opponents.
  • Tyrone Taylor has recorded a Double in three of his last four road appearances against NL Central opponents.

Chicago Cubs vs NY Mets Prediction

The NY Mets are playing their best ball of the season over these last two weeks, and a cheap price with Luis Severino is appealing. However, Severino’s numbers drop off when he pitches on the road, and Javier Assad has pitched like an all star caliber player this season. With a top-10 ERA and a strikeout per inning, I have to lean toward the Cubs at home and the cheap price. 

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Chicago Cubs -106

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