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Boston Red Sox vs Texas Rangers Prediction 8-12-24 MLB Picks

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Texas Rangers (55-63) vs. Boston Red Sox (61-55)
August 12, 2024 7:10 pm EDT
The Line: Boston Red Sox -112 / Texas Rangers -105; Over/Under: +9.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Texas Rangers and the Boston Red Sox meet Monday in MLB action from Fenway Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this Game. Here’s a Boston Red Sox vs Texas Rangers Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Texas Rangers will send out Tyler Mahle for the start here and is 0-1 with a 1.80 ERA and 2 strikeouts this season. This will be Mahle’s first career start against the Red Sox. Brayan Bello will start for the Red Sox here and is 10-5 with a 5.16 ERA and 109 strikeouts this season. In his career, Bello is 2-1 with a 5.63 ERA and 10 strikeouts against Texas.

Texas Rangers Recap

The Texas Rangers come into this one looking to bounce back after falling short in their weekend series against the New York Yankees, dropping Sunday’s finale in an 8-7 heartbreaker. The loss kept the series losing streak alive for the Rangers, falling short against the Astros and Red Sox as well in the last week and a half.

Rangers Fading In Playoff Race

Marcus Semien leads the Rangers with 113 hits along with 20 doubles, 17 home runs and 57 RBIs while Adolis Garcia has 18 home runs and 56 RBIs with 18 doubles as well as 10 stolen bases. Jonah Heim has 10 homers and 47 RBIs and Josh Smith also has a team-high 21 doubles. Corey Seager also has 25 home runs with 61 RBIs of his own this season.

Why the Texas Rangers will win

  • The Rangers have won each of their last nine Monday road games against American League opponents.
  • The Red Sox have lost four of their last five games as favorites.
  • The Rangers have covered the run line in each of their last 13 Monday night games as road underdogs against American League opponents.
  • The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games.

Boston Red Sox Recap

The Boston Red Sox will be looking to rebound after being swept by the Houston Astros this past weekend, thanks to a 10-2 loss in Sunday’s series finale. The loss snapped Boston’s series win streak which had included wins over the Royals and Rangers in the month of August so far.

Red Sox Trying To Stay In AL Playoff Chase

Jarren Duran leads the Red Sox with 143 hits along with 29 stolen bases, 36 doubles, 13 triples and 121 strikeouts and also has 58 RBIs so far this season. Wilyer Abreu has 24 doubles and Ceddanne Rafaela also has 58 RBIs while Rafael Devers has 118 hits with 30 doubles, 25 home runs, 71 RBIs and a .300 batting average this season. Tyler O’Neill also has 22 home runs and 45 RBIs as well while David Hamilton has a team-high 29 stolen bases this season.

Why the Boston Red Sox will win

  • The Red Sox have won each of their last six night games against the Rangers following a loss.
  • The Rangers have lost 12 of their last 13 night games against AL East opponents following a road loss.
  • The Red Sox have covered the run line in each of their last six night games against the Rangers following a loss.
  • The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games against the Red Sox following a road loss.

Boston Red Sox vs Texas Rangers Prediction

I’m on the over here. I just flat out don’t trust this pitching matchup, but Bello has really struggled at home with an ERA over six so I think Texas will be able to get to him, and Mahle’s only making his second start of the year against a Red Sox team that is smacking right-handed pitching as of late. All in all, I think we have a high-scoring Game brewing here so give me the over.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Over 9.5

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