Boston Red Sox vs NY Yankees Prediction 7-28-24 Picks

The New York Yankees and the Boston Red Sox meet Sunday in MLB action from Fenway Park. Here’s a Boston Red Sox vs NY Yankees Prediction. This will be the final installment in a three-Game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the Game.

New York Yankees Betting Preview

This week the Yankees played the New York Mets. The Yankees lost both those Games 3-2 and 12-3. Friday was another lost versus the Red Sox 9-7. In Game two New York powered out an 11-8 win in 10 innings. Marcus Stroman put up 3.1 innings in the start with three earned on nine hits and a walk.

In the starter role Sunday will be Carlos Rodon. This year Rodon is 10-7 with a 4.42 ERA in 21 starts. Rodon is 69-61 with a 3.90 ERA in 187 Games (182 starts).

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

Over on the Red Sox’ side, they played the Colorado Rockies in their last series. Boston split the first two Games before a huge loss in the rubber match 20-7 to drop the set. On Saturday the Red Sox were out-hit 16-13 in a wild loss. Starter Kutter Crawford finished on 4.2 innings and five earned runs.

Tanner Houck will take the mound for the Sunday start. This year Houck is 8-6 with a 2.71 ERA in 20 starts. Over his 94 career games (61 starts) Houck is 23-25 with a 3.48 ERA.

Red Sox vs Yankees Pick Injury Notes

The Yankees hope to have DH Giancarlo Stanton (hamstring) back for Monday’s series opener versus the Phillies.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Red Sox’s last six home games against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Yankees’ last five games against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Yankees’ last nine night games at Fenway Park.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last eight games between the Yankees and Red Sox at Fenway Park.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

• Ceddanne Rafaela has hit a home run in four of his last five appearances with the Red Sox as underdogs against AL East opponents.
• Jarren Duran has recorded a Double in six of the Red Sox’s last seven games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Connor Wong has recorded a Single in each of his last eight home appearances against AL East opponents.
• Rafael Devers has scored at least one run in each of his last 12 home appearances against AL East opponents.
• Ceddanne Rafaela has recorded at least one hit in each of the Red Sox’s last 12 night games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Trevor Story has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Wilyer Abreu has recorded an RBI in each of his last four home appearances against the Yankees.
• Tanner Houck ranks 6th amongst qualified players for Earned Run Average (2.71) this season.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

• Gleyber Torres has recorded a Double in each of the Yankees’ last three games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Aaron Judge has hit a home run in five of the Yankees’ last six road games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Carlos Rodon has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
• Aaron Judge has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Yankees’ last five games at Fenway Park against opponents that held a winning record.
• Aaron Judge has scored at least one run in 18 of his last 19 appearances in night games against AL teams that held a winning record.
• Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 10 appearances against AL opponents.
• Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 11 appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Aaron Judge ranks 1st in the league in Home Runs (37) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Boston Red Sox rank 2nd in the league for doubles this season (201).
• The Boston Red Sox are one of only 2 teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and home runs this season.
• The New York Yankees rank 1st in the league for runs scored this season (531).
• The New York Yankees rank 1st in the league for RBI’s this season (511).

Boston Red Sox vs NY Yankees Prediction

I’ll stay with the Red Sox. Houck does need something of a bounce-back outing, though. In his last start Houck posted four earned in 6.0 innings on 10 hits and three walks. Prior to that he had just one earned in 9.1 innings over two starts, though. As for Rodon, he’s got three earned over his last 11.0 innings.
On Saturday the Sox blew a couple of leads and gave up five unanswered runs from the eighth inning on. That one easily could have gone the other way, and I think Boston will respond on Sunday.