The Boston Red Sox (80-78) and Toronto Blue Jays (73-85) conclude a 3-game series Wednesday. First pitch from Rogers Centre is slated for 7:07 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Red Sox vs. Blue Jays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Red Sox lead 8-4

SS Trevor Story’s 3-run double in the 10th inning led the Blue Jays to a 6-5 win Tuesday. Boston’s 4th straight victory keeps their flickering Wild Card hopes alive. A win on Wednesday would be the Red Sox’s 1st sweep since a July 2-4 takedown of the Miami Marlins

The Blue Jays got out to an early lead behind a 2-run double from DH Vladimir Guerrero Jr., who is 2nd in the AL with a .324 batting average. Toronto has lost 5 straight games and 7 of their last 8 and  long been  eliminated from playoff contention.

Red Sox at Blue Jays projected starters

RHP Richard Fitts vs. RHP Kevin Gausman

Fitts (0-0, 0.00 ERA) makes his 4th career start. He has a 1.15 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 4.0 K/9 in 15 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 0 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 4-2 home loss against Minnesota Twins Friday
  • Made MLB debut against the Chicago White Sox on Sept. 8
  • First time facing Blue Jays

Gausman (13-11, 3.91 ERA) makes his 31st start. He has a 1.22 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 in 175 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 5 IP, 0 ER, 0 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 4-0 win at Texas Rangers Thursday
  • 2024 home splits: 5-6, 5.26 ERA (89 IP, 55 R (52 ER), 1.35 WHIP, 8.1 K/9 in 15 starts
  • 2024 vs. Red Sox: 1-1, 5.40 ERA (11 2/3 IP, 9 R (7 ER), 1.34 WHIP, 7.2 K/9 in 2 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Red Sox at Blue Jays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 12:46 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Red Sox +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Blue Jays -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox +1.5 (-185) | Blue Jays -1.5 (+150)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Red Sox at Blue Jays picks and predictions

Prediction

Red Sox 5, Blue Jays 2

Moneyline

BET RED SOX (+120).

The Red Sox are on a 4-game winning streak and still have a slim chance at the final AL Wild Card spot. Rookie Fitts has been stellar, throwing 15 2/3 innings without allowing an ER, and the Blue Jays will be seeing him for the 1st time, which often benefits the pitcher. Gausman has also struggled against Boston this season, giving up at least 3 ER in both of his previous starts against them. All these factors make a Red Sox moneyline bet a solid choice.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

I’ll keep my bet to the moneyline with those plus odds.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8 (-115).

The Under has hit in 4 of the last 5 meetings between these teams, indicating a trend that favors low-scoring affairs. Additionally, the Blue Jays have seen the Under cash in 6 of their last 7 Games, suggesting their offense has been struggling. With Fitts on the mound for Boston, the Under is 2-0-1 in his first 3 career starts, showcasing his ability to limit scoring opportunities. All signs point to a low-scoring Game, making the Under a smart bet.

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