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Baltimore Orioles vs Atlanta Braves Prediction 6-11-24 Picks

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Atlanta Braves (35-28) vs. Baltimore Orioles (42-22)
June 11, 2024 6:35 pm EDT
The Line: Baltimore Orioles +105 / Atlanta Braves -115; Over/Under: +8
(Get latest betting odds)

The Atlanta Braves and the Baltimore Orioles meet Tuesday in MLB action from Oriole Park. Here’s a Baltimore Orioles vs Atlanta Braves prediction. This will be the first installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game.

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Braves are coming off a weekend series versus the Washington Nationals. Atlanta didn’t play very well in that set, winning Thursday 5-2 before losses 2-1, 7-3 and 8-5 in the remaining three matchups. On Sunday in the loss, Braves starter Hurston Waldrep finished on 3.2 innings, seven earned, four hits and four walks.

For the starting pitcher role on Tuesday it’ll be Atlanta’s Max Fried. This year Fried is 6-2 with a 2.93 ERA in 12 starts. He’s got 67 Ks in 73.2 innings. Fried is 68-28 with a 3.02 ERA in 151 career Games (134 starts).

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

Over on the Orioles’ side, they matched up against the rival Tampa Bay Rays over the weekend. Baltimore won the first three Games 6-3, 5-0 and 9-2. In the Monday finale the Orioles powered out a 5-2 victory to complete the sweep. Starter Corbin Burnes finished on 7.0 clean frames, five hits and a walk.

As starter for the Tuesday Game the Orioles will send out Albert Suarez. This year Suarez is 2-0 with a 1.83 ERA and 33 strikeouts.

Total Runs Facts

  • Seven of the Braves’ last eight night games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Each of the last five games between the Braves and Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Orioles’ last eight games against National League opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Braves’ last five road games against American League opponents.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

  • Adley Rutschman has recorded a Double in three of his last four home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Gunnar Henderson has hit a home run in five of the Orioles’ last six games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Ramon Urias has recorded at least one Single in eight of his last nine appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Gunnar Henderson has scored at least one run in each of the Orioles’ last six games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Adley Rutschman has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Orioles’ last six home games against NL East opponents.
  • Adley Rutschman has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight home appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Adley Rutschman has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight home appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

  • Max Fried has recorded seven or more strikeouts in eight of his last nine road appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Max Fried has recorded a win in eight of his 10 previous appearances against AL East opponents.
  • Orlando Arcia has recorded a Double in three of the Braves’ last four night games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit a home run in each of his last two road appearances after not playing the previous day.
  • Matt Olson has recorded at least one Single in each of the Braves’ last eight night games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Ronald Acuna Jr. has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight road appearances after not playing the previous day.
  • Marcell Ozuna has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves’ last 20 night games.
  • Marcell Ozuna has recorded at least one total base in each of the Braves’ last 20 night games.
  • Brian Anderson has recorded at least one RBI in eight of his last nine appearances against the Orioles.

Baltimore Orioles vs Atlanta Braves Prediction

I might take a stab on the Braves here. Fried is pitching well these days and should set Atlanta up well. Over his last three starts combined Fried is 3-0 with three earned runs in 24.0 combined innings. The Braves have given up 15 runs over the last two Games though, so the pen needs to come through here as well.

As for the Orioles, on Monday they kept their excellent run going with 11 team hits. The O’s got a nice outing from the bullpen as well with 2.0 innings, no hits, no earned, two walks and four Ks. Baltimore is cooking right now so I’m probably staying away from this one. Should be a great Game, though.

Andrew's Free Pick: Atlanta Braves -115

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