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Baltimore Orioles vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction 5-10-24 Picks

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Arizona Diamondbacks (18-20) vs. Baltimore Orioles (24-12)
May 10, 2024 7:05 pm EDT
The Line: Baltimore Orioles -132 / Arizona Diamondbacks +111; Over/Under: +8
(Get latest betting odds)

The Arizona Diamondbacks and Baltimore Orioles meet Friday in MLB Game 1 action at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Here’s a Baltimore Orioles vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction.

Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview

The Arizona Diamondbacks are riding a 4-Game winning streak, which includes a sweep of the Cincinnati Reds. The Arizona Diamondbacks have scored 15 runs in their last 3 Games and 4 or more runs in 6 of their last 9 Games. The Arizona Diamondbacks have won 5 straight Games when scoring more than 1 run. Ketel Marte leads the Arizona Diamondbacks with 45 hits and 18 RBI, while Christian Walker and Lourdes Gurriel Jr. have combined for 72 hits and 49 RBI.

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 24-12 this season after wins over the Reds and Nationals. The Baltimore Orioles have scored 18 runs in their last 3 Games and 3 or fewer runs in 5 of their last 9 Games. The Baltimore Orioles have split their last 6 Games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Adley Rutschman leads the Baltimore Orioles with 47 hits and 22 RBI, while Gunnar Henderson and Jordan Westburg have combined for 75 hits and 48 RBI.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Baltimore Orioles Pitching Matchup

Brandon Pfaadt gets the ball for the Arizona Diamondbacks, and he is 1-2 with a 4.61 ERA and 42 strikeouts this season. Pfaadt will make his 26th career start. Pfaadt has a 4.76 ERA and .227 allowed batting average in 17 road innings. This will be Pfaadt’s first career Game against the Baltimore Orioles.

Cole Irvin gets the ball for the Baltimore Orioles, and he is 3-1 with a 2.86 ERA and 22 strikeouts this season. Irvin hasn’t allowed a single run in each of his last 3 starts. Irvin has a 3.24 ERA and .266 allowed batting average in 16.2 home innings. This will be Irvin’s second career game against the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

  • Probable Starting Pitcher: Cole Irvin Record this season: 3-1 ERA: 2.86
  • The Diamondbacks have lost each of their last six games against AL East opponents following a win.
  • The Orioles have won five of their last six games.
  • The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games as road underdogs against AL East opponents.
  • The Orioles have covered the run line in four of their last five night games after going to extra innings.
  • The Orioles have led after 5 innings in each of their last six home games against opponents that held a losing record.

Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win

  • Probable Starting Pitcher: Brandon Pfaadt Record this season: 1-2 ERA: 4.61
  • The Orioles have lost each of their last five games as favorites following a win.
  • The Diamondbacks have won four of their last five games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
  • The Orioles have failed to cover the run line each of their last seven home games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
  • The underdogs have covered the run line in seven of the Orioles’ last eight games.
  • The Diamondbacks have led after 3 innings in each of their last three games as underdogs.
  • The Orioles have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last seven home games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Diamondbacks’ last five night games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Each of the Orioles’ last four games following an extra innings win have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Orioles’ last six night games.

Baltimore Orioles vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction

The Arizona Diamondbacks continue to run hit or miss, and their offense has been rough more times than not. The Orioles have been comfortably the more trustworthy team, and they need to take advantage of games against losing teams to keep the Yankees at arms length. Also, Cole Irvin hasn’t allowed a run through his last 3 starts. We’re getting the better team at home with a hot pitcher at a cheap price. I have to side with the Orioles to take game 1 against the Diamondbacks.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Baltimore Orioles -132

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