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Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction 8-20-24 MLB Picks

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Philadelphia Phillies (73-51) vs. Atlanta Braves (66-58)
August 20, 2024 7:20 pm EDT
The Line: Atlanta Braves +106 / Philadelphia Phillies -125; Over/Under: +8
(Get latest betting odds)

The Philadelphia Phillies and Atlanta Braves meet Tuesday in MLB Game 1 action at Truist Park. Here’s a Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction. This article will include a Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Pick.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 73-51 on the year after playing the Marlins and Nationals. The Philadelphia Phillies have scored 12 runs in their last 3 Games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 7 Games. The Philadelphia Phillies have won 7 of their last 9 Games when scoring 4 or more runs. Alec Bohm leads the Philadelphia Phillies with 140 hits and 85 RBI, while Nick Castellanos and Bryce Harper have combined for 233 hits and 136 RBI.

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves are 66-58 on the year after playing the Giants and Angels. The Atlanta Braves have scored 16 runs in their last 3 Games and 4 or more runs in 4 of their last 8 Games. The Atlanta Braves have won 4 of their last 5 Games when scoring 4 or more runs. Marcell Ozuna leads the Atlanta Braves with 144 hits and 93 RBI, while Austin Riley and Matt Olson have combined for 215 hits and 119 RBI.

Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves Pitching Pick Matchup

Zack Wheeler gets the ball for the Philadelphia Phillies, and he is 12-5 with a 2.72 ERA and 162 strikeouts this season. Wheeler has allowed 12 hits and 3 earned runs in his last 20 innings. Wheeler has a 3.12 ERA and .203 allowed batting average in 66.1 road innings. Wheeler is 12-7 with a 3.07 ERA and 178 strikeouts in his career against the Atlanta Braves.

Reynaldo Lopez gets the ball for the Atlanta Braves, and he is 7-4 with a 2.06 ERA and 102 strikeouts this season. Lopez has allowed 27 hits and 9 runs in his last 25.1 innings. Lopez has a 1.74 ERA and .213 allowed batting average in 57 home innings. Lopez is 2-0 with a 2.57 ERA and 12 strikeouts in his career against the Philadelphia Phillies.

Why the Atlanta Braves will Beat the Phillies

  • The Braves have won each of their last 20 Tuesday night games against NL East opponents.
  • The Phillies have lost five of their last seven games as road favorites against National League opponents.
  • The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Braves’ last five games at Truist Park.
  • The Phillies have failed to cover the run line each of their last three games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Braves have led after 3 innings in each of their last six Tuesday night games as underdogs.
  • The Phillies have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five games against National League opponents that held a winning record.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

  • Jorge Soler has scored at least one run in each of his last four appearances with his team as a home underdog.
  • Ozzie Albies has hit a home run in four of the Braves’ last five games against the Phillies.
  • Jorge Soler has recorded an RBI in each of his last four appearances with his team as a home underdog.
  • Jorge Soler has recorded at least one Double in each of his last three appearances with his team as a home underdog against NL opponents.
  • Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one Single in 16 of his last 17 home appearances against NL East opponents.
  • Marcell Ozuna has recorded at least one total base in each of the Braves’ last 11 games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
  • Marcell Ozuna has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves’ last 11 games as underdogs against NL East opponents.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

  • Alec Bohm has recorded at least one hit in each of the Phillies’ last 13 games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Nick Castellanos has hit at least one home run in three of his last four appearances with the Phillies as favorites against the Braves.
  • Nick Castellanos has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Phillies’ last four games against NL East opponents.
  • Bryce Harper has scored at least one run in nine of his last 10 appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Alec Bohm has recorded a Double in four of the Phillies’ last five road games against NL opponents.
  • J.T. Realmuto has recorded at least one Single in 12 of his last 13 appearances against NL East opponents.
  • Alec Bohm has recorded at least one total base in each of the Phillies’ last 13 games against opponents that held a winning record.

Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

The Philadelphia Phillies are the better team, and they’re going to be favored whenever Zack Wheeler is on the mound. However, the Braves have found their spark offensively again, they’re at home and Reynaldo Lopez has been one of the best starting pitchers in the NL this season with a 2.06 ERA. Hell of a pitching matchup, but the value is with the Braves and the plus money. I like the Braves at this price point. 

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Atlanta Braves +106

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