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Arizona Diamondbacks vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction 5-15-24 Picks

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Cincinnati Reds (17-24) vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (20-22)
May 15, 2024 3:40 pm EDT
The Line: Arizona Diamondbacks -145 / Cincinnati Reds +122; Over/Under: +8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Cincinnati Reds and Arizona Diamondbacks meet Wednesday in MLB Game 3 action at Chase Field. Here’s a Arizona Diamondbacks vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction.

Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview

The Cincinnati Reds are 18-24 this season and play the Dodgers after this. The Cincinnati Reds have scored 16 runs in their last 3 Games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 6 Games. The Cincinnati Reds have split their last 8 Games when scoring 4 or more runs. Elly De La Cruz leads the Cincinnati Reds with 39 hits and 21 RBI while Spencer Steer and Jonathan India have combined for 67 hits and 40 RBI.

Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview

The Arizona Diamondbacks are 20-23 this season and play the Tigers after this. The Arizona Diamondbacks have scored 17 runs in their last 3 Games and 4 or more runs in 6 of their last 8 Games. The Arizona Diamondbacks have won 6 of their last 7 Games when scoring 4 or more runs. Ketel Marte leads the Arizona Diamondbacks with 49 hits and 24 RBI, while Christian Walker and Lourdes Gurriel Jr. have combined for 78 hits and 51 RBI.

Cincinnati Reds vs Arizona Diamondbacks Pitching Matchup

Andrew Abbott gets the ball for the Cincinnati Reds, and he is 2-4 with a 3.35 ERA and 37 strikeouts this season. Abbott has allowed 13 hits and 4 runs in his last 10 innings. Abbott has a 3.45 ERA and .215 allowed batting average in 28.2 road innings. This will be Abbott’s first career Game against the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Brandon Pfaadt gets the ball for the Arizona Diamondbacks, and he is 1-3 with a 4.60 ERA and 42 strikeouts this season. Pfaadt has allowed 15 hits and 6 earned runs in his last 12 innings. Pfaadt has a 4.50 ERA and .289 allowed batting average in 24 home innings. Pfaadt is 1-1 with a 3.97 ERA and 11 strikeouts in his career against the Cincinnati Reds.

Why the Cincinnati Reds will win

  • The Diamondbacks have lost four of their last five games as favorites after playing the previous day.
  • The underdogs have won three of the last four games between the Reds and Diamondbacks.
  • The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Reds’ last seven games.
  • The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games as favorites after playing the previous day.
  • The Diamondbacks have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last six games as favorites.

Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts

 

  • Ketel Marte has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances with the Diamondbacks as favorites against NL Central opponents.
  • Ketel Marte has scored a run in each of the Diamondbacks’ last four day games.
  • Brandon Pfaadt has recorded six or more strikeouts in eight of his last nine appearances in day games.
  • Alek Thomas has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last seven appearances in day games against NL Central teams that held a losing record.
  • Joc Pederson has recorded at least one hit in eight of his last nine appearances against NL Central opponents.
  • Ketel Marte has recorded at least one Single in each of his last four appearances with the Diamondbacks as home favorites.
  • Randal Grichuk has recorded a Double in three of his last four home appearances against NL Central opponents.
  • Joc Pederson has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Diamondbacks’ last five games as favorites against NL Central opponents.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

 

  • Jeimer Candelario has recorded an RBI in each of the Reds’ last four games against the Diamondbacks.
  • Jeimer Candelario has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Reds’ last four games against the Diamondbacks.
  • Spencer Steer has scored a run in each of his last four appearances at Chase Field.
  • Spencer Steer has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 road appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
  • TJ Friedl has hit a home run in five of his last 11 appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
  • TJ Friedl has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight Wednesday appearances against teams that held a losing record.
  • Tyler Stephenson has recorded a Double in three of the Reds’ last four games at Chase Field.
  • Elly De La Cruz ranks 1st in the league in Steals (26) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

 

  • The Arizona Diamondbacks rank 29th in the league for strikeouts this season (319).
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks rank T3rd in the league for runs scored this season (213).
  • The Cincinnati Reds rank 1st in the league for steals this season (74).
  • The Cincinnati Reds rank 29th in the league for hits this season (301).

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction

I don’t want to back the Cincinnati Reds as much as the next guy, but they have the pitching edge with Andrew Abbott on the mound. Brandon Pfaadt has been far more shaky, and he’s getting more hittable by the start. Brandon Pfaadt has also had issues at home. Also, let’s not act like the Arizona Diamondbacks are tearing the cover off the ball this season, as they’ve underachieved up to this point. Two losing teams, give me the Reds and the plus money if forced to pick.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Cincinnati Reds +122

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