The Arizona Diamondbacks (87-68) and the Milwaukee Brewers (88-67) wrap up a 4-game series on Sunday. First pitch from American Family Field is set for 2:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Diamondbacks vs. Brewers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Diamondbacks lead 4-2
The Diamondbacks have won the 1st 3 games of this series, outscoring the Brewers 17-5 and cashing as the favorite in 2 of the outings. The Under is also 2-1 in the 1st 3 games of the set.
Arizona has won 4 in a row, rebounding after a 1-4 skid from Sept. 13-17, which included 2 losses in a 3-game set vs. the Brewers in Phoenix. The Under has connected in 4 of the past 6 outings for the Snakes.
The Brewers have clinched the division, so they’re not exactly playing with a lot of urgency. Milwaukee became the 1st team in the majors to clinch a postseason bid Wednesday, and the Brew Crew has won the NL Central crown 2 consecutive seasons.
Despite the division title, Milwaukee has won just once in the past 5 Games, while cashing low on the total in 4 of those contests.
Diamondbacks at Brewers projected starters
LHP Jordan Montgomery vs. RHP Frankie Montas
Montgomery (8-7, 6.23 ERA) makes his 21st start and 25th appearance. He has a 1.64 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 6.2 K/9 in 112 2/3 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 4 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 6 H (1 HR), 2 BB, 4 K in 8-2 road setback vs. Colorado Rockies Tuesday
- 2024 road splits: 4-3, 5.44 ERA, 51 1/3 IP, 31 ER, 7 HR, 1.38 WHIP, .279 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 14 BB, 34 K in 9 starts (10 appearances)
- Last 7 games: 1-1, 5.83 ERA, 29 1/3 IP, 19 ER, 10 BB, 22 K, 1.53 WHIP
- Career vs. Brewers: 2-2, 2.93 ERA, 27 2/3 IP, 9 ER, 29 H, 6 BB, 34 K, 1.27 WHIP, 11.1 K/9 in 5 starts
Montas (7-11, 4.50 ERA) makes his 29th start. He has a 1.34 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 in 144 IP with Reds and Brewers.
- Last start: Loss, 5 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 6 H (2 HR), 2 BB, 10 K in 5-1 home setback vs. Philadelphia Phillies Tuesday
- 2024 home splits: 1-7, 4.15 ERA, 60 2/3 IP, 28 ER, 7 HR, 1.32 WHIP, .254 OBA, 20 BB, 62 K in 12 starts
- Last 7 games: 2-3, 3.02 ERA, 41 2/3 IP, 14 ER, 16 BB, 48 K, 1.06 WHIP
- Career vs. Diamondbacks: 1-2, 7.24 ERA, 13 2/3 IP, 11 ER, 2 HR, 7 BB, 15 K, 1.46 WHIP, 9.9 K/9 in 3 starts
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Diamondbacks at Brewers odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 6:34 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Diamondbacks +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Brewers -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks -1.5 (+165) | Brewers +1.5 (-200)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)
Diamondbacks at Brewers picks and predictions
Prediction
Brewers 6, Diamondbacks 5
Moneyline
The BREWERS (-120) are the lean, but go with a half-unit play at most.
Neither of these pitchers give bettors a lot of confidence, as Montgomery has been a disaster most of the season, while Montas has had issues at home in his stops in Cincinnati and Milwaukee this season.
This could be a game which is decided by the bullpens, as the starters likely won’t last long.
Run line/Against the spread
The Brewers +1.5 (-200) will cost you 2 times your potential return, if you decided to take a little bit of insurance, and not play Milwaukee straight up.
That’s too much risk and not enough reward straight up. However, if you were to toss Milwaukee into a multi-leg parlay, either with other MLB Games, WNBA playoff Games or NFL contests, it wouldn’t be the end of the world.
AVOID.
Over/Under
OVER 8.5 (-120) is the strongest play in this series finale.
While the Under has cashed at a 4-1-1 clip in the past 6 games for Milwaukee, it should be able to get to the southpaw Montgomery, who has been very giving all season.
The Diamondbacks have piled up 26 runs in the past 4 outings, splitting the Over 2-2 in those contests. Like Montgomery, Montas is very giving, and Arizona should get the sticks going against him.
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