NBA

Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction 10-26-24 NBA Picks

Published

3w ago

Oct 26, 2024 / 7299 Views

Evan Walker

Dallas Mavericks (1-0) vs. Phoenix Suns (1-0)
October 26, 2024 10:00 pm EDT
The Line: Phoenix Suns +2.5; Over/Under: +231
(Get latest betting odds)

The Dallas Mavericks and the Phoenix Suns collide at the Footprint Center on Saturday night. Here’s a Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction. This article will include a Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks Pick.

Dallas Mavericks

The Dallas Mavericks will be eager to keep building after taking down the Spurs in a solid 120-109 home win on Thursday. Luka Doncic led the team with 28 points, 10 rebounds, and eight assists, Klay Thompson added 22 points while Kyrie Irving and Dereck Lively each scored 15 points. As a team, the Mavericks shot just 41 percent from the field and 19 of 44 from the 3-point line as they withstood an early barrage from the Spurs before they turned the tide with a pivotal 40-point burst in the third quarter to set up the win in front of their home fans.

Phoenix Suns

Meanwhile, the Phoenix Suns are hoping to bounce back in this one after getting beaten by the Lakers in a 123-116 road defeat last night. Kevin Durant led the team with 30 points, four rebounds, and six assists on 11 of 17 shooting, Devin Booker added 23 points, Bradley Beal scored 15 points with nine assists while Tyus Jones chipped in with 14 points. As a team, the Suns shot 51 percent from the field and 17 of 37 from the 3-point line as they stormed out of the gates with 38 points in the first quarter to take an early 22-point lead, only to get run down in the second half where they got outscored by 71-55 to trail by as many as 12 points at one stage. Jusuf Nurkic had a rough Game as he scored just four points on one of five shooting and no bench player finished in double figures in scoring.

Why the Dallas Mavericks will win

The Mavericks have won nine of their last 10 night games against Pacific Division opponents.
The Suns have lost each of their last four games on the second leg of a back-to-back against the Mavericks.
The Mavericks have covered the spread in nine of their last 10 night games against Pacific Division opponents.
The Suns have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six games as home underdogs on the second leg of a back-to-back.

Total Points Facts

Each of the Mavericks’ last seven games against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back has gone UNDER the total points line.
Each of the last four night games between the Mavericks and Suns has gone UNDER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

The Suns rank T1st in the league for opponent blocks per game this season (1.0).
The Suns rank T1st in the league for opponent turnovers per game this season (22.0).
The Mavericks rank 30th in the league for Q1 points per game this season (20.0).
The Mavericks rank T1st in the league for Q3 win percentage this season (100.0%).

Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction

The Mavericks are still missing Dante Exum, while the Suns are still without Josh Okogie and Grayson Allen. The Mavericks will be feeling pretty good following their win back on Thursday, especially because the newly acquired Klay Thompson looked great on his way to 22 points. The Suns are playing this one on zero days rest after last night’s ugly loss to the Lakers and I think they got exposed a bit as they still couldn’t get the job done despite holding a 22-point lead. An upset wouldn’t surprise me here, but I think the Mavericks represent decent value with the short line in this one.