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Dallas Stars vs Vegas Golden Knights Prediction 5-5-24 Picks

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Vegas Golden Knights (48-31-9) vs. Dallas Stars (55-24-9)
May 5, 2024 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: Dallas Stars -154 / Vegas Golden Knights +128; Over/Under: -
(Get latest betting odds)

The Vegas Golden Knights and Dallas Stars meet Sunday in Game 7 West First Round NHL Playoffs action at the American Airlines Center. Here’s a Dallas Stars vs Vegas Golden Knights Prediction.

Vegas Golden Knights Betting Preview

The Vegas Golden Knights will make their fourth playoff second round appearance in the last 5 years with a victory here. The Vegas Golden Knights are averaging 2.5 goals per game and are scoring on 27.3 percent of their power play opportunities. Jack Eichel leads Vegas with 3 goals, Ivan Barbashev has 4 assists and Jonathan Marchessault has 20 shots on goal. Defensively, the Vegas Golden Knights are allowing 2.33 goals per game and are killing 69.2 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Logan Thompson has given up 10 goals on 127 shots faced, while Adin Hill has allowed 3 goals on 48 shots.

Dallas Stars Betting Preview

The Dallas Stars look for a win to reach the second round of the playoffs for the fourth time in the last 6 years. The Dallas Stars are averaging 2.33 goals per Game and are scoring on 30.8 percent of their power play opportunities. Wyatt Johnston leads Dallas with 3 goals, Miro Heiskanen has 4 assists and Tyler Seguin has 18 shots on goal. Defensively, the Dallas Stars are allowing 2.5 goals per Game and are killing 72.7 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Jake Oettinger has allowed 13 goals on 164 shots faced.

Vegas Golden Knights vs Dallas Stars Injury Report

Nicolas Hague is questionable for Vegas with a lower body injury, while of course the Golden Knights will be without Robin Lehner due to a hip issue. The Dallas Stars have a questionable Radek Faksa and Mason Marchment.

Why the Dallas Stars will win

  • The Stars have won each of their last four home games following a road loss.
  • The Golden Knights have lost three of their last four games.
  • The Stars have covered the puck line in each of their last six Sunday games.
  • The Golden Knights have failed to cover the puck line in six of their last eight night games following a home win.
  • The Stars have won the second period in each of their last six Sunday games.

Why the Vegas Golden Knights will win

  • The underdogs have won five of the Golden Knights’ last six games at American Airlines Center.
  • The Stars have lost two of their last three games as home favorites against Pacific Division opponents.
  • The underdogs have covered the puck line in each of the Golden Knights’ last 12 games at American Airlines Center.
  • The Stars have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last six night games at American Airlines Center.
  • The Stars have lost the second period in four of their last five night games at American Airlines Center.

Total Goals Facts

  • Eight of the Stars’ last nine home games have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • Each of the Golden Knights’ last five night games against the Stars following a win have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in seven of the Golden Knights’ last eight games at American Airlines Center.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in seven of the last eight games between the Golden Knights and Stars at American Airlines Center.

Dallas Stars vs Vegas Golden Knights Prediction

The Dallas Stars should be favored for obvious reasons, as they were the better team this season and they have home ice. The Stars are 27-13-4 at home this season. The Stars have been the better team in 3 of the last 4 games against Vegas and have been solid defensively. With all that said, this is a game 7, and I want experience in my pocket. The Vegas Golden Knights are a roster full of champions who have been in these situations before and aren’t going to fold under the bright lights.

Vegas fought off elimination with its best showing of the series and has won 6 of its last 7 playoff series overall. The Golden Knights have also won 7 of the last 10 games against the Stars, which is worth noting. Teams are often tight in game 7s. I want the team that’s stacked with guys who have been on the biggest stage and prevailed. Give me the Golden Knights and the plus money.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Vegas Golden Knights +128

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