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Dallas Stars vs Colorado Avalanche Prediction 5-9-24 Picks

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Colorado Avalanche (55-26-7) vs. Dallas Stars (56-24-10)
May 9, 2024 9:30 pm EDT
The Line: Dallas Stars -120 / Colorado Avalanche +108; Over/Under: +6.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Dallas Stars and Colorado Avalanche meet Thursday in Game 2 West Second Round NHL Playoffs action at the American Airlines Center. Here’s a Dallas Stars vs Colorado Avalanche Prediction.

Colorado Avalanche Betting Preview

The Colorado Avalanche look for another road win to take a surprising 2-0 series lead. The Avalanche have won 5 straight Games and are 3-1 on the road in these playoffs. The Colorado Avalanche are averaging 5.33 goals per Game and are scoring on 44.4 percent of their power play opportunities. Valeri Nichushkin leads Colorado with 8 goals, Cale Makar has 9 assists and Nathan MacKinnon has 28 shots on goal. Defensively, the Colorado Avalanche are allowing 3 goals per Game and are killing 76.5 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Alexandar Georgiev has allowed 18 goals on 162 shots faced.

Why the Colorado Avalanche will win

  • The Avalanche have won each of their last 10 road games following an overtime win.
  • The Stars have lost three of their last four games as favorites against Central Division opponents.
  • The Avalanche have covered the puck line in each of their last 11 games as underdogs following an overtime win.
  • The Stars have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last eight night games at American Airlines Center.
  • The Avalanche have won the third period in each of their last five games against Western Conference opponents.

Dallas Stars Betting Preview

The Dallas Stars need a win to avoid the same 0-2 hole that happened against the Vegas Golden Knights. The Dallas Stars are 2-3 at home in these playoffs. The Dallas Stars are averaging 2.38 goals per Game and are scoring on 27.8 percent of their power play opportunities. Wyatt Johnston leads Dallas with 5 goals, Miro Heiskanen has 5 assists and Tyler Seguin has 25 shots on goal. Defensively, the Dallas Stars are allowing 2.5 goals per Game and are killing 64.3 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Jake Oettinger has allowed 18 goals on 213 shots faced.

Why the Dallas Stars will win

  • The Stars have won each of their last three Game 2s of a Western Conference Second Round series.
  • The favorites have covered the puck line in four of the Avalanche’s last five games.
  • The Avalanche have failed to cover the puck line in 12 of their last 16 road games following a road win.
  • The favorites have won the third period in four of the Avalanche’s last five games.

Dallas Stars vs Colorado Avalanche Injury Report

The Dallas Stars will be without Mason Marchment, Jani Hakanpaa and Jerad Rosburg. The Avalanche will be without Jonathan Drouin, Logan O’Connor and Gabriel Landeskog. Joel Kiviranta is questionable with a lower body injury and hasn’t played since April 26.

Total Goals Facts

  • Each of the Stars’ last 10 home games after coming off overtime have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • Each of the Avalanche’s last nine night games against Central Division opponents have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • Each of the last four games between teams from the same division have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in each of the Avalanche’s last six games as underdogs against Central Division opponents.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2’ market has hit in each of the last eight games between the Avalanche and Stars.

Dallas Stars vs Colorado Avalanche Prediction

The Dallas Stars should be favored because they’re at home and their season is on the line. While the Stars came back against Vegas after dropping the first two Games at home, it’s not realistic to expect it again. Historically, the series is over if the home team loses twice at home. With that said, the Avs have won 5 straight playoff Games, and they’ve won 7 of the last 9 Games against the Stars. Again, the Stars should be favored, and they should be the motivated side, but History and current form makes the Colorado Avalanche and plus money the value play. I’m rolling with the Avs.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Colorado Avalanche +108

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