MLB

Cincinnati Reds vs San Diego Padres Prediction 5-22-24 Picks

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May 23, 2024 / 7671 Views

San Diego Padres (25-26) vs. Cincinnati Reds (20-28)
May 22, 2024 6:40 pm EDT
The Line: Cincinnati Reds +110 / San Diego Padres -130; Over/Under: +9.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The San Diego Padres and Cincinnati Reds meet Wednesday in MLB Game 2 action at Nissan Arena. Here’s a Cincinnati Reds vs San Diego Padres Prediction.

San Diego Padres Betting Preview

The San Diego Padres look to get back to a .500 record after losses to the Rockies and Braves. The San Diego Padres have scored 6 runs in their last 3 Games and 3 or fewer runs in 5 of their last 7 Games. The San Diego Padres have lost 5 of their last 6 Games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Jurickson Profar leads the San Diego Padres with 58 hits and 31 RBI, while Jake Cronenworth and Fernando Tatis Jr. have combined for 98 hits and 56 RBI.

Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview

The Cincinnati Reds are 20-28 on the year after recent losses to the Diamondbacks and Dodgers. The Cincinnati Reds have scored 4 runs in their last 3 Games and 3 or fewer runs in 4 straight Games. The Cincinnati Reds have lost 5 of their last 6 Games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Elly De La Cruz leads the Cincinnati Reds with 45 hits and 23 RBI, while Spencer Steer and Jeimer Candelario have combined for 69 hits and 48 RBI.

San Diego Padres vs Cincinnati Reds Pitching Matchup

Michael King gets the ball for the San Diego Padres, and he is 3-4 with a 4.31 ERA and 61 strikeouts this season. King has allowed 16 hits and 6 runs in his last 18.1 innings. King has a 3.31 ERA and .236 allowed batting average in 32.2 road innings. King is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA and 5 strikeouts in his career against the Cincinnati Reds.

Nick Martinez gets the ball for the Cincinnati Reds, and he is 1-2 with a 4.23 ERA and 29 strikeouts this season. Martinez has allowed 5 hits and 1 run in his last 10.1 innings. Martinez has a 5.48 ERA and .319 allowed batting average in 23 home innings. Martinez is 0-2 with a 5.73 ERA and 7 strikeouts in his career against the San Diego Padres.

Why the Cincinnati Reds will win

The underdogs have won seven of the Padres’ last eight games.
The Padres have lost each of their last four games as favorites.
The underdogs have covered the run line in seven of the Padres’ last eight games.
The Padres have failed to cover the run line each of their last five games against teams that held a losing record.
The Padres have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four games as favorites against National League opponents.
The Padres have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three games.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

Jeimer Candelario has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances against the Padres after playing the previous day.
Tyler Stephenson has scored at least one run in six of his last seven appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
TJ Friedl has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 Wednesday night appearances.
TJ Friedl has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 Wednesday night appearances.
Jeimer Candelario has hit a home run in three of his last five appearances against the Padres after playing the previous day.
Jeimer Candelario has recorded a Double in three of the Reds’ last four games against opponents that held a losing record.
TJ Friedl has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight Wednesday appearances against teams that held a losing record.
Elly De La Cruz ranks 1st in the league in Steals (30) this season.

San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts

Fernando Tatis Jr. has recorded at least one RBI in three of the Padres’ last four road games against the Reds.
Fernando Tatis Jr. has scored at least one run in six of the Padres’ last seven road games against opponents that held a losing record.
Jurickson Profar has recorded at least one hit in each of the Padres’ last 10 games against NL opponents.
Xander Bogaerts has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
Jurickson Profar has hit a home run in three of his last seven appearances with the Padres as favorites against the Reds.
Xander Bogaerts has recorded a Double in three of his last four road appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
Jurickson Profar has recorded at least one Single in each of the Padres’ last seven games.
Jurickson Profar ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.427) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

The Cincinnati Reds rank 30th in the league for hits this season (336).
The Cincinnati Reds rank 30th in the league for batting average this season (.216).
The San Diego Padres rank 3rd in the league for hits this season (441).
The San Diego Padres rank 3rd in the league for strikeouts this season (444).

Cincinnati Reds vs San Diego Padres Prediction

I’m not running to the window to back either the Padres or Reds in their current form. The Padres are the better team on paper, but they’ve been shutout in their last two Games. No, thank you. If forced to pick a spot, give me the team that’s getting the better price, and we’re getting plus money with the Cincinnati Reds at home. Nick Martinez also pitched for the Padres the last two season, so he’s familiar with that struggling batting lineup. Michael King has also been hittable this season when he’s not striking batters out. Give me the Reds.