Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic Wimbledon Tennis Picks, & Best Bet 

The Wimbledon men’s singles final is Carlos Alcaraz vs. Novak Djokovic. Here are my best bets for Day 14 at the All-England Club.
It all comes down to this: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic for the Wimbledon men’s singles title. Sunday’s championship match at the All-England Club features the #1 and #2 players in the world, so on paper this has all the makings of a blockbuster battle.

Will it live up to the hype? It’s time to break down the odds and reveal the best bets to be made for Day 14 at Wimbledon. 

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Carlos Alcaraz +1.5 sets over Novak Djokovic (-120)

For this bet we need Alcaraz to either win the match outright or lose in a fifth set. I really don’t think asking him to win just 2 sets is too much. Djokovic is a considerable favorite, and for good reason – he is the 4-time defending champion at Wimbledon and has won each of the first 2 Grand Slams in 2023. However, he hasn’t been entirely dominant this fortnight; Hubert Hurkacz and Andrey Rublev both took a set, while Jannik Sinner had 2 set points in the third set of their semifinal showdown. Meanwhile, Alcaraz is coming off impressive straight-set beatdowns of Holger Rune and Daniil Medvedev. The Spaniard should be competitive and he could even win it outright.

Carlos Alcaraz vs. Novak Djokovic Over 15.5 aces (-115)

Alcaraz has fired 39 aces through 6 matches, averaging 6.5 per outing. Djokovic ranks fourth in the tournament overall with 66 aces (11 per contest). These 2 finalists are averaging 17.5 combined, which is more than Sunday’s number of 15.5. And that’s their average despite not having played particularly long matches. If the championship match turns into a long, comPetitive battle, that gives it all the more reason to produce a whole bunch of aces. It should also be noted that Djokovic is getting aced at an absolutely shocking rate this fortnight. The 36-year-old has watched a ridiculous 84 aces whizz past him through 6 rounds. Yes, 33 of those came off the racket of big-serving Hubert Hurkacz, but even Jordan Thompson finished with an outrageous 21 in 3 sets and Pedro Cachin of all opponents struck 10 in his 3-set loss. I expect Alcaraz to hit a barrage of service missiles on Sunday and Djokovic should chip in, too.

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Carlos Alcaraz Over 3.5 double-faults (-140)

Alcaraz has double-faulted 23 times so far during this event. That’s an average of almost 4 per match. Keep in mind that he has played 4 straight-setters and just a pair of 4-setters, giving him 20 total sets played. That means he is averaging more than 1 double per set. Assuming Sunday’s showdown goes 4 or 5, Alcaraz will likely soar over this number. And when you factor in the pressure of a slam final and the quality of opponent on the other side of the net, the 20-year-old will probably double-fault more than normal.

Carlos Alcaraz to hit more double-faults than Novak Djokovic (-190)

Even at a price of -190, this is a bet that absolutely cannot be passed up. Whereas Alcaraz has DFed on 23 occasions this fortnight, Djokovic has committed only 8 such mistakes. In fact, the world #2 has hit just 5 double-faults in his last 5 matches and he did not hit a single one against Sinner.

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