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Washington Nationals vs Minnesota Twins Prediction 5-22-24 Picks

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Minnesota Twins (24-23) vs. Washington Nationals (21-25)
May 22, 2024 1:05 pm EDT
The Line: Washington Nationals +119 / Minnesota Twins -141; Over/Under: +9.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Minnesota Twins and the Washington Nationals meet Wednesday in MLB action from Nationals Park. Here’s a Washington Nationals vs Minnesota Twins prediction. This will be the final installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game.

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

The Twins played the Cleveland Guardians in their weekend series and things didn’t go very well. Minnesota lost all three of those Gamed 3-2, 11-4 and 5-2. After a 12-3 blowout loss to the Nationals on Monday, in Game two the Twins rolled to a 10-0 blowout victory. Starting pitcher Joe Ryan notched 7.0 innings with three hits and two walks.

In the starting pitcher role for the Twins on Wednesday it’ll be Simeon Woods Richardson. This year Richardson is 1-0 with a 2.97 ERA in six starts. He’s got 25 Ks in 30.1 innings. Richardson is 1-1 with a 3.83 ERA in eight career Games (seven starts).

Washington Nationals Betting Preview

Over on the Nationals’ side, they experienced their own sweep over the weekend. Washington lost to the Philadelphia Phillies 4-2, 4-3 and 11-5 in those three Games. In the Tuesday Game two versus the Twins, the Nationals had just three team hits (and gave up 10). Patrick Corbin put up 6.0 innings in the start with eight earned on nine hits and three walks.

It’ll be Jake Irvin in the Nationals’ starting pitcher slot Wednesday. So far this year Irvin is 2-4 with a 3.91 ERA in nine starts. He’s got 38 Ks over 50.2 total frames. In 33 career Games Irvin is 5-11 with a 4.40 ERA.

Twins vs Nationals Injury Notes

Twins SS Brooks Lee (back) has begun a rehab assignment with the FCL Twins, as has CF Walker Jenkins (hamstring).

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Nationals’ last six home games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Five of the Twins’ last six games as road favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Nationals’ last 10 games against American League opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Twins’ last six road games against National League opponents.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

  • Eddie Rosario has hit a home run in each of the Nationals’ last two day games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Eddie Rosario has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Nationals’ last six day games.
  • CJ Abrams has recorded a Double in three of the Nationals’ last four games as home underdogs against AL Central opponents.
  • Lane Thomas has recorded at least one hit in each of his 10 previous appearances with the Nationals as underdogs against AL Central opponents.
  • Keibert Ruiz has recorded at least one Single in 11 of his last 12 appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
  • Joey Meneses has scored at least one run in nine of the Nationals’ last 10 home games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Lane Thomas has recorded at least one total base in each of his 10 previous appearances with the Nationals as underdogs against AL Central opponents.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

  • Byron Buxton has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine appearances against NL opponents.
  • Max Kepler has hit a home run in three of his last four road appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • Carlos Santana has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Twins’ last five games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Max Kepler has recorded a Double in four of his last five road appearances.
  • Byron Buxton has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against NL opponents.
  • Carlos Santana has recorded at least one Single in eight of his last nine appearances with his team as a favorite against NL opponents.
  • Carlos Correa has scored at least one run in each of the Twins’ last seven games against opponents that held a losing record.

Washington Nationals vs Minnesota Twins Prediction

I’ll try the Twins here. We should have a pretty good starter matchup if both guys are on point, though. Richardson had five earned in 4.1 innings on May 11 versus the Blue Jays, but came back strong with one earned in 5.1 innings versus the Guardians his last time out. As for Irvin, he gave up four in 5.0 innings versus the Phillies, but had a pretty good pair of starts prior to that.

On Tuesday, the Twins came alive on both sides as they cruised to the dominant win. Byron Buxton (three RBI; two runs), Will Castro (two RBI; two runs) and Jose Miranda (two RBI) had four home runs between them. Game three likely won’t be so one-sided, but Minnesota should be in great shape.

Andrew's Free Pick: Minnesota Twins -141

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