MLB

Washington Nationals vs Minnesota Twins Prediction 5-21-24 Picks

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6m ago

May 22, 2024 / 3225 Views

Evan Walker

Minnesota Twins (24-23) vs. Washington Nationals (21-25)
May 21, 2024 6:45 pm EDT
The Line: Washington Nationals +165 / Minnesota Twins -180; Over/Under: +8
(Get latest betting odds)

The Minnesota Twins and Washington Nationals meet Tuesday in MLB Game 2 action at Nationals Park. Here’s a Washington Nationals vs Minnesota Twins Prediction.

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

The Minnesota Twins have lost 7 straight Games, which includes losses to the Yankees and Guardians. The Minnesota Twins have scored 9 runs in their last 3 Games and 3 or fewer runs in 6 of their last 7 Games. The Minnesota Twins have lost 6 straight Games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Willi Castro leads the Minnesota Twins with 43 hits and 14 RBI, while Ryan Jeffers and Carlos Santana have combined for 69 hits and 52 RBI.

Washington Nationals Betting Preview

The Washington Nationals are 21-25 on the year after losses to the White Sox and Phillies. The Washington Nationals have scored 20 runs in their last 3 Games and 3 or fewer runs in 5 of their last 8 Games. The Washington Nationals have lost 6 straight Games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. CJ Abrams leads the Washington Nationals with 47 hits and 21 RBI, while Luis Garcia Jr. and Joey Meneses have combined for 74 hits and 46 RBI.

Minnesota Twins vs Washington Nationals Pitching Matchup

Joe Ryan gets the ball for the Minnesota Twins, and he is 2-3 with a 3.57 ERA and 58 strikeouts this season. Ryan has allowed 16 hits and 8 runs in his last 18.1 innings. Ryan has a 1.85 ERA and .226 allowed batting average in 24.1 road innings. This will be Ryan’s first career Game against the Washington Nationals.

Patrick Corbin gets the ball for the Washington Nationals, and he is 1-4 with a 5.59 ERA and 29 strikeouts this season. Corbin has allowed 19 hits and 6 runs in his last 16.2 innings. Corbin has a 3.63 ERA and .273 allowed batting average in 17.1 home innings. Corbin is 1-1 with a 4.50 ERA and 9 strikeouts in his career against the Minnesota Twins.

Why the Minnesota Twins will win

The Twins have won 13 of their last 14 night games against teams that held a losing record.
The Nationals have lost eight of their last nine night games at Nationals Park following a win.
The Twins have covered the run line in six of their last seven games against National League opponents following a road loss.
The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six night games against AL Central opponents following a home win.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

Luis Garcia has hit a home run in three of the Nationals’ last four home games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
Eddie Rosario has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Nationals’ last four home games against AL opponents.
Joey Meneses has scored at least one run in each of the Nationals’ last nine home games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
Patrick Corbin has recorded four or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
Patrick Corbin has recorded a win in three of his last four home appearances against AL opponents.
Lane Thomas has recorded at least one hit in each of his 10 previous appearances with the Nationals as underdogs against AL Central opponents.
Eddie Rosario has recorded at least one Single in each of the Nationals’ last five home games.
CJ Abrams has recorded at least one Double in five of his last six home appearances against AL Central opponents.
Lane Thomas has recorded at least one total base in each of his 10 previous appearances with the Nationals as underdogs against AL Central opponents.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

Joe Ryan has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last five Tuesday appearances with the Twins as favorites.
Max Kepler has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine road appearances.
Max Kepler has hit a home run in each of his last three road appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
Byron Buxton has recorded a Single in each of the Twins’ last six games against NL opponents.
Max Kepler has recorded a Double in each of his last four road appearances.
Trevor Larnach has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last seven appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
Trevor Larnach has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last seven appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
Trevor Larnach has scored at least one run in each of his last seven appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
Ryan Jeffers ranks 8th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.560) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

The Washington Nationals rank 1st in the league for home runs allowed this season (33).
The Washington Nationals rank 2nd in the league for steals this season (77).
The Minnesota Twins rank 1st in the league for doubles this season (92).
The Minnesota Twins rank 1st in the league for walks allowed this season (118).

Washington Nationals vs Minnesota Twins Prediction

I’m not running to the window to back the Minnesota Twins given their losing streak, especially on the road in the big favorite role. However, the Nationals aren’t lighting the world on fire right now, and Patrick Corbin has been one of the worst pitchers in baseball over the years. Since 2022, Corbin has a 5.69 ERA and 1.6 WHIP. I see Corbin, I fade him, and it’s been the case for years. This is a spot the Twins should win. If they don’t, the issues are bigger than we thought. Give me the Twins and the RL to shave down the juice.