NFL
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Denver Broncos Prediction 9-22-24 NFL Picks
Denver Broncos (0-1) vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1-0)
September 22, 2024 1:00 pm EDT
The Line: Tampa Bay Buccaneers -7; Over/Under: +39.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Denver Broncos and Tampa Bay Buccaneers meet Sunday in week 3 NFL action at Raymond James Stadium. Here’s a Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Denver Broncos Prediction. This article will include a Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Denver Broncos Pick.
Denver Broncos Betting Preview
The Denver Broncos lost to the Seahawks and Steelers, and they play the Jets next. The Denver Broncos hope to avoid back to back 0-3 starts. Bo Nix is completing 59.7 percent of his passes for 384 yards, 0 touchdowns and 4 interceptions. Josh Reynolds and Courtland Sutton have combined for 202 receiving yards on 14 catches, while Lil’Jordan Humphrey has 4 receptions.
The Denver Broncos ground Game is averaging 81.5 yards per contest, and Nix leads the way with 60 yards and 1 touchdown. Defensively, Denver is allowing 19.5 points and 277.5 yards per Game. Alex Singleton leads the Denver Broncos with 20 tackles, Jonathon Cooper has 2 sacks and P.J. Locke has 1 pass deflection.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Betting Preview
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers beat the CoMMAnders and Lions, and they play the Eagles next. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers look for their first 3-0 start since the 2005 season. Baker Mayfield is completing 73.5 percent of his passes for 474 yards, 5 touchdowns and 1 interception. Chris Godwin and Mike Evans have combined for 303 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns, while Rachaad White has 7 receptions.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers ground game is averaging 91 yards per contest, and Bucky Irving leads the way with 84 yards on 16 carries. Defensively, Tampa Bay is allowing 18 points and 381 yards per game. Jordan Whitehead leads the Tampa Bay Buccaneers with 19 tackles, SirVocea Dennis has 1 sack and Zyon McCollum has 1 interception.
Why the Tampa Bay Buccaneers will win
- The Buccaneers have won each of their last 13 home games against opponents on a losing streak.
- The Broncos have lost each of their last six away games against opponents on a winning streak.
- The Buccaneers have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games as home favorites following a road win.
- The Broncos have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four Week 3 road games.
- The favorites have won the first half in each of the Broncos’ last six Week 3 games.
- The Buccaneers have won the first quarter in four of their last five games in Florida.
- The Buccaneers have scored the first touchdown in seven of their last eight home games against AFC opponents.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Player Prop Facts
- Baker Mayfield has recorded 15+ rushing yards in each of the Buccaneers’ last four games.
- Mike Evans has scored at least one touchdown in each of his four previous Week 3 appearances at Raymond James Stadium.
- Chris Godwin has recorded 70+ rushing and receiving yards in seven of his last eight appearances with the Buccaneers as favorites following a road win.
- Mike Evans has scored the last touchdown in three of his four previous Week 3 appearances at Raymond James Stadium.
- Baker Mayfield has recorded 283+ passing yards in each of the Buccaneers’ last four games in Florida.
- Mike Evans has recorded 83+ receiving yards in each of the Buccaneers’ last seven home games against AFC opponents.
- Baker Mayfield has thrown two touchdowns in each of the Buccaneers’ last five games against AFC opponents.
- Mike Evans ranks T1st in the NFL in receiving touchdowns (2) this season.
Denver Broncos Player Prop Facts
- Javonte Williams has recorded 43+ rushing yards in four of the Broncos’ last five September games against NFC opponents.
- Courtland Sutton has scored a touchdown in each of the Broncos’ last two games as underdogs following a home loss.
- Javonte Williams has recorded 65+ rushing and receiving yards in six of the Broncos’ last seven Sunday games as underdogs.
- Courtland Sutton has recorded 46+ receiving yards in each of his last four appearances following a home loss.
- Devaughn Vele ranks T1st amongst qualified players for catch rate (100.0%) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Buccaneers rank T1st in the NFL in Q1 win percentage (100.0) this season.
- The Buccaneers rank T1st in the NFL in Q2 win percentage (100.0) this season.
- The Broncos rank 1st in the NFL in total punt yards (704) this season.
- The Broncos rank 32nd in the NFL in red zone percentage (14.3%) this season.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Denver Broncos Prediction
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have been one of the more impressive teams through two weeks and should be favored, but this line feels a bit rich. The Denver Broncos haven’t been good offensively, but they’ve still managed to hang around in Games against good defenses in the Steelers and Seahawks. Mayfield is also no stranger to having a sloppy Game with a turnover or two, so I’m kind of waiting for that shoe to drop.
This has the feel of an ugly Game that’s closer than it should be. The Broncos are ninth in total defense and fourth in passing defense, so points shouldn’t be easy to came by for either side. Give me my free 7 points.
Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Denver Broncos +7
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