MLB

St. Louis Cardinals vs Boston Red Sox Prediction 5-18-24 Picks

Published

6m ago

May 19, 2024 / 2365 Views

Evan Walker

Boston Red Sox (22-23) vs. St. Louis Cardinals (19-25)
May 18, 2024 7:15 pm EDT
The Line: St. Louis Cardinals -113 / Boston Red Sox +103; Over/Under: +8
(Get latest betting odds)

The Boston Red Sox and St. Louis Cardinals meet Saturday in MLB Game 2 action at Busch Stadium. Here’s a St. Louis Cardinals vs Boston Red Sox Prediction.

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Boston Red Sox look to get back to a .500 record after losses to the Nationals and Rays. The Boston Red Sox have scored 14 runs in their last 3 Games and 4 or more runs in 4 of their last 8 Games. The Boston Red Sox have won 7 of their last 9 Games when scoring 4 or more runs. Jarren Duran leads the Boston Red Sox with 50 hits and 18 RBI, while Connor Wong and Rafael Devers have combined for 75 hits and 34 RBI.

St. Louis Cardinals Betting Preview

The St. Louis Cardinals are 19-25 on the year after losses to the Brewers and Angels. The St. Louis Cardinals have scored 19 runs in their last 3 Games and 4 or more runs in 4 of their last 5 Games. The St. Louis Cardinals have won 4 straight Games when scoring 4 or more runs. Nolan Arenado leads the St. Louis Cardinals with 45 hits and 22 RBI, while Brendan Donovan and Masyn Winn have combined for 74 hits and 30 RBI.

Boston Red Sox vs St. Louis Cardinals Pitching Matchup

Kutter Crawford gets the ball for the Boston Red Sox, and he is 2-2 with a 2.24 ERA and 52 strikeouts this season. Crawford has allowed 16 hits and 8 runs in his last 19 innings. Crawford has a 1.59 ERA and .205 allowed batting average in 22.2 road innings. This will be Crawford’s second career Game against the St. Louis Cardinals.

Miles Mikolas gets the ball for the St. Louis Cardinals, and he is 3-5 with a 6.19 ERA and 35 strikeouts this season. Mikolas has allowed 21 hits and 12 runs in his last 16 innings. Mikolas has a 7.63 ERA and .348 allowed batting average in 15.1 home innings. This will be Mikolas’ second career game against the Boston Red Sox.

Why the Boston Red Sox will win

The Red Sox have won each of their last nine games as road favorites after playing the previous day.
The Cardinals have lost each of their last four games at Busch Stadium following a win.
The Cardinals have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games against American League opponents after playing the previous day.
The Red Sox have covered the run line in each of their last five games as road favorites following a road loss.

St. Louis Cardinals Player Prop Facts

Nolan Arenado has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Cardinals’ last four games against the Red Sox.
Willson Contreras has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 11 appearances with his team as an underdog against AL East opponents.
Tommy Edman has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven home appearances against AL East opponents.
Miles Mikolas has recorded five or more strikeouts in six of his last seven appearances with his team as an underdog against AL opponents.
Nolan Arenado has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances with his team as a home underdog against the Red Sox.
Willson Contreras has scored at least one run in each of his last seven home appearances.
Miles Mikolas has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances with the Cardinals as underdogs.
Willson Contreras has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances with his team as an underdog against AL East opponents.
Nolan Arenado has hit a home run in four of the Cardinals’ last five games as underdogs against the Red Sox.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

Rafael Devers has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Red Sox’s last eight night games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
Rafael Devers has scored at least one run in each of his last six road appearances against NL Central opponents.
Rafael Devers has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Red Sox’s last 10 night games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
Connor Wong has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 appearances in night games.
Dominic Smith has recorded at least one Double in each of his last three appearances against NL Central opponents at Busch Stadium.
Connor Wong has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 14 appearances in night games.
Triston Casas has hit a home run in four of his last five appearances against NL Central opponents.
Tyler O’Neill ranks T8th in the league in Home Runs (10) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

The St. Louis Cardinals rank 28th in the league for runs scored this season (165).
The St. Louis Cardinals rank 28th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.262).
The Boston Red Sox rank 2nd in the league for triples this season (11).
The Boston Red Sox rank 2nd in the league for ERA this season (2.96).

St. Louis Cardinals vs Boston Red Sox Prediction

This line is a bit strange when you consider the Boston Red Sox have had more success up to this season, and they have a clear edge on the mound. Kutter Crawford is starting to come into his own, and he’s been great this season in particular, where he has the 11th best ERA and is top-25 in strikeouts. Miles Mikolas has been the complete opposite, as he’s been getting rocked most nights and he’s been at his worst at home. There’s no way I’m laying juice with the Cardinals in this spot. The value is with the Red Sox and slight plus money. Give me the Red Sox.