MLB

Seattle Mariners vs Houston Astros Prediction 5-28-24 Picks

Published

6m ago

May 29, 2024 / 5006 Views

Evan Walker

Houston Astros (24-29) vs. Seattle Mariners (28-26)
May 28, 2024 9:40 pm EDT
The Line: Seattle Mariners -128 / Houston Astros +109; Over/Under: +7.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Houston Astros and Seattle Mariners meet Tuesday in MLB Game 2 action at T-Mobile Park. Here’s a Seattle Mariners vs Houston Astros Prediction.

Houston Astros Betting Preview

The Houston Astros are 24-30 on the season after losses to the Angels and Athletics. The Houston Astros have scored 8 runs in their last 3 Games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 8 Games. The Houston Astros have won 10 of their last 12 Games when scoring 4 or more runs. Jeremy Pena leads the Houston Astros with 65 hits and 21 RBI, while Jose Altuve and Yordan Alvarez have combined for 119 hits and 42 RBI.

Seattle Mariners Betting Preview

The Seattle Mariners are 29-26 on the year despite recent losses to the Yankees and Nationals. The Seattle Mariners have scored 13 runs in their last 3 Games and 3 or fewer runs in 5 of their last 6 Games. The Seattle Mariners have lost 7 of their last 8 Games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Julio Rodriguez leads the Seattle Mariners with 58 hits and 19 RBI, while Ty France and Josh Rojas have combined for 83 hits and 30 RBI.

Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners Pitching Matchup

Cristian Javier gets the ball for the Houston Astros, and he is 3-1 with a 3.89 ERA and 27 strikeouts this season. Javier has allowed 15 hits and 11 runs in his last 11.1 innings. Javier hasn’t pitched in a week and has been dealing with elbow soreness. Javier is 3-2 with a 2.87 ERA and 37 strikeouts in his career against the Seattle Mariners.

Luis Castillo gets the ball for the Seattle Mariners, and he is 4-6 with a 3.31 ERA and 69 strikeouts this season. Castillo has allowed 20 hits and 8 earned runs in his last 23.2 innings. Castillo has a 3.64 ERA and .277 allowed batting average in 29.2 home innings. Castillo is 2-1 with a 3.81 ERA and 23 strikeouts in his career against the Houston Astros.

Why the Seattle Mariners will win

The Mariners have won 10 of their last 12 games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
The Astros have lost each of their last three games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
The Astros have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 11 Tuesday night games.
The Mariners have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games against the Astros following a win.
The Astros have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five night games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
The Mariners have led after 5 innings in each of their last five home games.

Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts

Jorge Polanco has recorded two or more total bases in seven of his last eight appearances in night games against AL West teams that held a losing record.
Luis Castillo has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last six appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
Jorge Polanco has recorded at least one Double in four of his last five appearances in night games against AL West teams that held a losing record.
Mitch Haniger has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 Tuesday appearances at T-Mobile Park.
Luis Castillo has recorded a win in each of his last five appearances against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
Cal Raleigh has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances against AL West opponents.
Cal Raleigh has hit a home run in three of his last five appearances against AL West opponents.
Ty France has recorded at least one Single in eight of the Mariners’ last nine home games against the Astros.
J.P. Crawford has scored at least one run in each of his last five appearances in night games against AL West teams that held a losing record.

Houston Astros Player Prop Facts

Kyle Tucker has recorded at least one total base in each of the Astros’ last 14 Tuesday games against opponents that held a winning record.
Kyle Tucker has recorded at least one hit in each of the Astros’ last 14 Tuesday games against opponents that held a winning record.
Victor Caratini has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
Kyle Tucker has hit a home run in five of the Astros’ last seven games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
Alex Bregman has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight Tuesday appearances at T-Mobile Park.
Jeremy Pena has scored a run in six of the Astros’ last eight night games.

Matchup/League Facts

The Seattle Mariners rank 30th in the league for doubles this season (62).
The Seattle Mariners rank 30th in the league for strikeouts against this season (553).
The Houston Astros rank 1st in the league for batting average this season (.263).
The Houston Astros rank 1st in the league for strikeouts against this season (358).

Seattle Mariners vs Houston Astros Prediction

The Houston Astros continue to underachieve, and they enter this Game with questions at the starting pitching spot. Cristian Javier hasn’t pitched in a week and is now dealing with elbow soreness? Luis Castillo has been consistent this year with an ERA of 3.31, and he’s racking up the strikeouts as well. The Seattle Mariners have to like their chances to get another big win over the Astros. The price is more than reasonable. Give me the Mariners at this price point, especially with the question marks surrounding Javier at the starting pitching spot.