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NY Mets vs Miami Marlins Prediction 6-11-24 Picks

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Miami Marlins (22-43) vs. NY Mets (28-36)
June 11, 2024 7:10 pm EDT
The Line: NY Mets -125 / Miami Marlins +115; Over/Under: +7.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Miami Marlins and the New York Mets meet Tuesday in MLB action from Citi Field. Here’s a NY Mets vs Miami Marlins Prediction. This will be the first installment in a three-Game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the Game.

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Marlins took on the Cleveland Guardians in their weekend series. Miami was able to win Friday’s matchup 3-2, but faltered in the latter games with losses 8-0 and 6-3 to drop the set. In Sunday’s finale, Marlins starter Trevor Rogers finished with 5.0 innings, one earned and four walks.

In the starter role for the Tuesday game the Marlins will send out Jesus Luzardo. This year in his 10 starts Luzardo is 2-5 with a 5.30 ERA and 52 Ks in 56.0 innings. Luzardo is 25-33 with a 4.31 ERA in 103 games (87 starts).

New York Mets Betting Preview

Over on the Mets’ side, they played two Games against the Philadelphia Phillies over the weekend, Traveling all the way over to London for it. New York lost Saturday’s matchup 7-2, but managed to even things up with a 6-5 win in the Sunday Game. Jose Quintana left after 3.2 innings and three earned runs in that one.

New York will send out Tylor Megill for the starting role on Tuesday. So far this year Megill is 1-2 with a 3.00 ERA and 24 Ks in 21.0 innings over four starts. Megill is 18-18 with a 4.59 ERA in 62 career games (56 starts).

Marlins vs Mets Injury Notes

Mets catcher Francisco Alvarez (thumb) resumed his rehab assignment Sunday with High-A Brooklyn.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Marlins’ last nine games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Each of the last three games between the Marlins and Mets have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Marlins’ last four night games against NL East opponents.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

  • J.D. Martinez has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 13 appearances in night games against NL teams that held a losing record.
  • Tylor Megill has recorded five or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances against NL East opponents.
  • Harrison Bader has recorded two or more RBIs in each of the Mets’ last five games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • Pete Alonso has recorded a Double in three of the Mets’ last four home games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • J.D. Martinez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances in night games against NL teams that held a losing record.
  • Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one Single in each of the Mets’ last nine night games.
  • Pete Alonso has scored at least one run in seven of the Mets’ last eight games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Tylor Megill has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Francisco Lindor has hit a home run in each of the Mets’ last two home games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

  • Josh Bell has recorded an RBI in each of the Marlins’ last four night games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Josh Bell has recorded a Double in each of the Marlins’ last three games against NL opponents.
  • Jesus Sanchez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 road appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Jazz Chisholm has hit a home run in three of the Marlins’ last five games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • Bryan De La Cruz has recorded at least one Single in each of his last nine appearances against the Mets.
  • Christian Bethancourt has scored at least one run in each of his last five appearances against the Mets after not playing the previous day.
  • Jesus Luzardo has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Jesus Sanchez has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 12 road appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.

NY Mets vs Miami Marlins Prediction

I’ll stick with the Mets, but I’m probably not touching this one. Both starters could use a good showing. Megill is coming off four earned runs on seven hits and three walks in 5.0 innings during a win over the Nationals on June 3. In his two starts before that however, Megill had just two earned in 12.0 frames. As for Luzardo, he coughed up nine earned runs in 4.1 innings on nine hits and two walks in his last start. Luzardo is 0-2 in his last pair.

New York was pretty choppy against the Phillies over the weekend, but the good news is that they’ve scored six or more runs in four of the last five Games. I like the Mets to keep it going Tuesday.

Andrew's Free Pick: New York Mets -125

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