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NY Mets vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction 5-31-24 Picks

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Arizona Diamondbacks (25-31) vs. NY Mets (23-33)
May 31, 2024 7:10 pm EDT
The Line: NY Mets -112 / Arizona Diamondbacks -105; Over/Under: +7.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Arizona Diamondbacks and the New York Mets meet Friday in MLB action from Citi Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this Game. Here’s an NY Mets vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

Arizona will send out Jordan Montgomery for the start here and Montgomery is 3-2 with a 4.69 ERA and 24 strikeouts this season. In his career, Montgomery is 0-3 with an 8.40 ERA and 21 strikeouts. Luis Severino will get the start for the Mets and is 2-2 with a 3.22 ERA and 50 strikeouts this season. This will be Severino’s first career start against the Diamondbacks.

Arizona Diamondbacks Recap

The Arizona Diamondbacks will try to bounce back after starting the series with a 3-2 loss at the hands of the Mets in Thursday’s series opener. The loss was not what the Diamondbacks needed after being swept by the Rangers and losing their series with the Marlins over the last week.

Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win

  • The Diamondbacks have won each of their last four games as road underdogs against National League opponents following a loss.
  • The Mets have lost each of their last four games as favorites following a win.
  • The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight Friday night games as home favorites against NL West opponents.
  • The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in each of their last four games as underdogs against National League opponents following a road loss.
  • The Diamondbacks have led after 3 innings in each of their last eight road games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Diamondbacks have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
  • The Diamondbacks have won the first inning in three of their last four games as underdogs against NL East opponents.

Diamondbacks Struggling To Find Offense

Ketel Marte leads the Diamondbacks with 59 hits in addition to a .265 batting average and 13 doubles with 10 home runs and 29 RBIs while Lourdes Gurriel Jr. also has 6 home runs and 29 RBIs as well this season. Corbin Carroll has a team-high 9 stolen bases while Eugenio Suarez has a team-high 63 strikeouts this season. Christian Walker also has 10 home runs with a team-high 33 RBIs of his own this season.

New York Mets Recap

The New York Mets will try to build on their win over the Diamondbacks from Thursday’s series opener to try to get the vibes right after struggling with series losses to the Dodgers, Giants, and Guardians in the last week and a half.

Mets Having Issues Of Their Own At The Plate

Starling Marte leads the Mets with 52 hits and a .267 batting average while Pete Alonso has a team-high 12 home runs and 26 RBIs with 12 doubles as well. Francisco Lindor has 12 doubles of his own with 9 home runs and 28 RBIs while Marte also has a team-high 9 stolen bases. Brandon Nimmo has a team-high 29 RBIs and 56 strikeouts as well this season.

Why the New York Mets will win

  • The Diamondbacks have lost each of their last 11 Friday road games against NL East opponents.
  • The Mets have won each of their last seven night games against the Diamondbacks following a home win.
  • The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line each of their last 10 games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last four games against the Diamondbacks.
  • The Mets have led after 5 innings in each of their last seven games as favorites against NL West opponents.

NY Mets vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction

I’m on the Diamondbacks here. I think the Diamondbacks were a bit unlucky to take the loss in Thursday’s matchup, but this is an Arizona team that’s struggled in series-opening Games all year long. The Mets have been one of the worst teams in baseball against lefties in the month of May, and Jordan Montgomery’s pitched better on the road this season as it is. I think the Diamondbacks get their revenge here so give me the Diamondbacks on the road to pull even in the series.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Arizona -105

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