The Houston Astros (26-33) welcome the Minnesota Twins (32-26) to Minute Maid Park Sunday. First pitch in the 3-game series finale is set for 1:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Twins vs. Astros odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Tied 1-1
The Twins opened the series with a 6-1 victory over the Astros then lost 5-2 Saturday, closing as an underdog in each.
Minnesota has won 4 of its last 6 games, beating the Kansas City Royals in 3 of 4 in the series prior. Minnesota is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games against the spread (ATS) and is 26-32 on the season. The Twins aren16-13 straight up on the road.
The Astros, who are 15-16 at home, sit 3rd in the AL West and have struggled to find much consistency, scoring just 1 or 2 runs in 4 of their last 6 games. They are 2-4 in those games. Houston is 26-32 ATS as well.
Twins at Astros projected starters
RHP Simeon Woods Richardson vs. RHP Hunter Brown
Woods Richardson (2-0, 2.70 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.10 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 in 40 IP.
- Last start: Win, 5 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 4 K in a 4-2 home win over the Kansas City Royals Tuesday
- 2024 road splits: 1-0, 3.00 ERA (24 IP, 8 ER), 24 H, 2 HR, 5 BB, 12 K in 5 starts
- Has never faced the Astros
Brown (1-5, 6.39 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.64 WHIP, 4.4 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 in 49 1/3 IP.
- Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 9 K in a 4-2 road loss to the Seattle Mariners Tuesday
- 2024 home splits: 1-2, 4.70 ERA (30 2/3 IP, 16 ER), 25 H, 6 HR, 17 BB, 28 K in 6 starts
- Career vs. Twins: 1-1, 3.86 ERA (11 2/3 IP, 5 ER), 1.03 WHIP, 11.6 K/9 in 2 starts
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Twins at Astros odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:38 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Twins +116 (bet $100 to win $116) | Astros -134 (bet $134 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Twins +1.5 (-182) | Astros -1.5 (+150)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: -102)
Twins at Astros picks and predictions
Prediction
Twins 4, Astros 3
Moneyline
BET TWINS (+116).
The Twins have been on a roll as of late, winning 4 of their last 6 games as their offense has been more dependable, scoring at least 4 runs in all 4 victories. They will also have a pitching advantage as Brown has struggled for most of the season.
With Houston sub-.500 at home and having scored 5 or fewer runs in 8 straight and 2 or fewer in 5 of those, it might not find the bats to come out on top in 2 in a row. Back the plus-money TWINS (+116).
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
There’s just no great value here. The Astros -1.5 (+150) are too risky as a run-line favorite, and the Twins +1.5 (-188) are too expensive as a run-line underdog. Avoid this play.
Over/Under
BET UNDER 8.5 (-102).
Both teams have been heavily leaning toward the Under. The Twins have gone Under in 4 of their last 5 games and are 2-7-1 O/U in their last 10. They are 25-31-2 O/U on the season and have gone Under in 3 straight Woods Richardson starts.
The Astros have gone Under in 8 straight games and are 20-35-3 O/U on the season. They have gone Under in 2 straight starts by Brown and have allowed more than 4 runs in just 1 of their last 10 games.
Back UNDER 8.5 (-102).
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