MLB

Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago Cubs Prediction 5-28-24 Picks

Published

6m ago

May 29, 2024 / 1159 Views

Evan Walker

Chicago Cubs (27-27) vs. Milwaukee Brewers (31-22)
May 28, 2024 7:40 pm EDT
The Line: Milwaukee Brewers -153 / Chicago Cubs +140; Over/Under: +8
(Get latest betting odds)

The Chicago Cubs and Milwaukee Brewers meet Tuesday in MLB Game 2 action at American Family Field. Here’s a Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago Cubs Prediction.

Chicago Cubs Betting Preview

The Chicago Cubs have lost 5 straight Games, which includes losses to the Braves and Cardinals. The Chicago Cubs have scored 10 runs in their last 3 Games and 3 or fewer runs in 6 of their last 8 Games. The Chicago Cubs have lost 5 straight Games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Nico Hoerner leads the Chicago Cubs with 47 hits and 15 RBI, while Mike Tauchman and Cody Bellinger have combined for 83 hits and 39 RBI.

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers are 31-22 on the year after wins over the Marlins and Red Sox. The Milwaukee Brewers have scored 12 runs in their last 3 Games and 4 or more runs in 6 of their last 9 Games. The Milwaukee Brewers have won 7 of their last 9 Games when scoring 4 or more runs. William Contreras leads the Milwaukee Brewers with 70 hits and 43 RBI, while Willy Adames and Brice Turang have combined for 102 hits and 54 RBI.

Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers Pitching Matchup

Ben Brown gets the ball for the Chicago Cubs, and he is 1-1 with a 3.20 ERA and 45 strikeouts this season. Brown has allowed 11 hits and 3 runs in his last 16.1 innings. Brown has a 4.44 ERA and .258 allowed batting average in 26.1 road innings. This will be Brown’s first career Game against the Milwaukee Brewers.

Freddy Peralta gets the ball for the Milwaukee Brewers, and he is 3-3 with a 3.81 ERA and 71 strikeouts this season. Peralta has allowed 23 hits and 12 runs in his last 23 innings. Peralta has a 4.24 ERA and .210 allowed batting average in 17 home innings. Peralta is 5-2 with a 3.50 ERA and 90 strikeouts in his career against the Chicago Cubs.

Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win

The Cubs have lost seven of their last eight games after playing the previous day.
The Brewers have won five of their last six night games against NL Central opponents.
The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in 14 of their last 16 games after playing the previous day.
The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last four games.
The Cubs have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four night games against NL Central opponents.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

William Contreras has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 15 appearances against the Cubs.
Freddy Peralta has recorded seven or more strikeouts in eight of his last nine home appearances.
William Contreras has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 appearances against the Cubs.
Rhys Hoskins has recorded at least one RBI in six of his last seven home appearances against NL Central opponents.
Rhys Hoskins has hit a home run in three of his last five appearances in night games.
William Contreras has recorded at least one Single in 14 of his last 15 appearances against the Cubs.
William Contreras has scored at least one run in 10 of the Brewers’ last 11 home games against NL Central opponents.

Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts

Ian Happ has recorded a Double in three of the Cubs’ last four games against opponents that held a winning record.
Seiya Suzuki has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 road appearances against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
Yan Gomes has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six road appearances against the Brewers.
Yan Gomes has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances at American Family Field against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one Single in each of the Cubs’ last seven road games.
Nico Hoerner has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight appearances against NL Central opponents.
Seiya Suzuki has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 road appearances against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.

Matchup/League Facts

The Milwaukee Brewers rank 3rd in the league for steals this season (70).
The Milwaukee Brewers rank 4th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.331).
The Chicago Cubs rank T4th in the league for walks this season (191).
The Chicago Cubs rank 26th in the league for doubles this season (75).

Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago Cubs Prediction

The Chicago Cubs are ice-cold right now as the offense can’t string together offense, and it’s hard to get behind them with confidence at the moment. The Milwaukee Brewers have been the more trustworthy team up to this point, and them at home makes them worth strong consideration in this spot. Freddy Peralta has been respectable this season, and he’s had great success against the Cubs for his career. The Cubs will turn things around eventually, but I’m rolling with the Brewers at home and the reasonable price with a pitcher who has a sample size of success against them. Give me the Brewers.