MLB

Houston Astros vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction 6-3-24 Picks

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5m ago

Jun 04, 2024 / 1726 Views

Evan Walker

St. Louis Cardinals (27-29) vs. Houston Astros (26-34)
June 3, 2024 8:10 pm EDT
The Line: Houston Astros -156 / St. Louis Cardinals +133; Over/Under: +9
(Get latest betting odds)

The St. Louis Cardinals and Houston Astros meet Monday in MLB Game 1 action at Minute Maid Park. Here’s a Houston Astros vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction.

St. Louis Cardinals Betting Preview

The St. Louis Cardinals look to get back to a .500 record after wins over the Reds and Phillies. The St. Louis Cardinals have scored 8 runs in their last 3 Games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 8 Games. The St. Louis Cardinals have won 12 straight Games when scoring 4 or more runs. Nolan Arenado leads the St. Louis Cardinals with 55 hits and 26 RBI, while Masyn Winn and Brendan Donovan have combined for 100 hits and 44 RBI.

Houston Astros Betting Preview

The Houston Astros are 26-34 on the year after losses to the Mariners and Twins. The Houston Astros have scored 9 runs in their last 3 Games and 3 or fewer runs in 5 of their last 7 Games. The Houston Astros have lost 8 straight Games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Jose Altuve leads the Houston Astros with 70 hits and 20 RBI while Jeremy Pena and Yordan Alvarez have combined for 132 hits and 46 RBI.

St. Louis Cardinals vs Houston Astros Pitching Matchup

Kyle Gibson gets the ball for the St. Louis Cardinals, and he is 4-2 with a 3.60 ERA and 52 strikeouts this season. Gibson has allowed 25 hits and 10 earned runs in his last 27 innings. Gibson has a 2.90 ERA and .179 allowed batting average in 31 road innings. Gibson is 4-3 with a 2.64 ERA and 62 strikeouts in his career against the Houston Astros.

Justin Verlander gets the ball for the Houston Astros, and he is 3-2 with a 3.26 ERA and 44 strikeouts this season. Verlander has allowed 31 hits and 15 earned runs in his last 36.2 innings. Verlander has a 4.63 ERA and .244 allowed batting average in 11.2 home innings. Verlander is 3-1 with a 4.32 ERA and 15 strikeouts in his career against the St. Louis Cardinals.

Why the Houston Astros will win

The Astros have won seven of their last eight night games against teams that held a losing record.
The Cardinals have lost each of their last five road games following an extra innings win.
The Cardinals have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 road games against AL West opponents following a win.
The Astros have covered the run line in six of their last seven home games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
The Astros have led after 3 innings in each of their last six games against National League opponents.

Houston Astros Player Prop Facts

Jose Altuve has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 12 appearances against the Cardinals after playing the previous day.
Justin Verlander has recorded seven or more strikeouts in six of his last seven home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
Jeremy Pena has recorded at least one Single in each of the Astros’ last eight Monday night games at Minute Maid Park.
Jose Altuve has scored at least one run in eight of his last nine appearances against the Cardinals after playing the previous day.
Justin Verlander has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
Alex Bregman has recorded a Double in three of the Astros’ last four games as home favorites against NL opponents.
Kyle Tucker has hit at least one home run in three of the Astros’ last four games as favorites against NL opponents.
Kyle Tucker has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Astros’ last six games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
Jose Altuve has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances against the Cardinals after playing the previous day.

St. Louis Cardinals Player Prop Facts

Kyle Gibson has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last three road appearances.
Alec Burleson has recorded at least one Single in each of his last nine appearances with the Cardinals as underdogs against AL opponents.
Brandon Crawford has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 14 appearances against the Astros.
Willson Contreras has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
Willson Contreras has scored at least one run in each of his last seven appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
Nolan Arenado has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances against the Astros after playing the previous day.
Brandon Crawford has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six appearances against the Astros.
Brandon Crawford has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 appearances against the Astros.

Matchup/League Facts

The Houston Astros rank 1st in the league for strikeouts against this season (407).
The Houston Astros rank 3rd in the league for hits this season (530).
The St. Louis Cardinals rank 29th in the league for RBI’s this season (208).
The St. Louis Cardinals rank 28th in the league for runs scored this season (221).

Houston Astros vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction

The St. Louis Cardinals are coming off a Sunday Night Game that included extra innings, so this could be a sluggish team getting off the plane. The Houston Astros need to take advantage of bad teams at home if they’re going to chip away in the standings. Justin Verlander is showing flashes of returning to at the very least of being an above average pitcher, and he should get going at home. Kyle Gibson and plus money is attractive given how he’s pitched this season. Still, I still think a run for the Astros is coming. I’ll lay the reasonable price with the Astros at home and their ace on the bump.