The New Orleans Pelicans (4-12) welcome the Golden State Warriors (11-3) to the Smoothie King Center Friday. Tip is set for 7:30 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Warriors vs. Pelicans odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Warriors lead 2-0
The Warriors beat the Pelicans in back-to-back days in October, winning 124-106 in the first matchup on the 29th and then 104-89 in the second matchup on the 30th. Golden State closed as a 1.5-point underdog and then a 3-point favorite.
The Warriors are coming off a 120-97 home win over the Atlanta Hawks Wednesday, closing as a 7.5-point favorite. They have won 4 of their last 5 games, going 3-2 against the spread (ATS). Golden State is 10-4 ATS on the season.
The Pelicans won their first two Games of the season, but are 2-12 since. They lost to the Cleveland Cavaliers 128-100 Wednesday, closing as a 14-point underdog. New Orleans is just 2-8 ATS over its last 10 Games and 4-12 ATS on the season.
Warriors at Pelicans odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NBA odds. Lines last updated at 9:17 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Warriors -500 (bet $500 to win $100) | Pelicans +360 (bet $100 to win $360)
- Against the spread (ATS): Warriors -10.5 (-110) | Pelicans +10.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 223.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
Warriors at Pelicans key injuries
Warriors
- G Stephen Curry (knee) probable
Pelicans
- G Jose Alvarado (hamstring) out
- F Brandon Ingram (ankle) questionable
- F Herbert Jones (shoulder) out
- G CJ McCollum (adductor) doubtful
- G Dejounte Murray (hand) out
- F Zion Williamson (hamstring) out
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
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Warriors at Pelicans picks and predictions
Prediction
Warriors 118, Pelicans 104
Moneyline
PASS.
There’s no reason to think the Pelicans (+360) can pull off the upset here, especially with numerous weapons sidelined. Similarly, the Warriors are far too expensive (-500) to play outright.
Against the spread
BET WARRIORS -10.5 (-110).
The Warriors are 1-0 ATS this season as a double-digit favorite and 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite. They have won 9 of their last 11 with 5 of those wins coming by double figures.
The Pelicans are 0-3 ATS as a double-digit underdog this season and have lost 3 straight Games, 2 of which were by 28-plus points. With that in mind, back WARRIORS -10.5 (-110).
Over/Under
BET UNDER 223.5 (-115).
Simply put, the Pelicans won’t have the offensive firepower to really aid this total. They have scored 101 or fewer in 5 straight Games and have topped 105 points just once in their last 9 outings, going 3-5-1 O/U.
The Warriors have gone Under in 2 straight and have held opponents to just 99.5 points per game in those. With Curry nursing a knee injury and their offense averaging under 110 PPG over their last 2 games, expect a slower game.
Back UNDER 223.5 (-115).
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