The Dallas Mavericks (8-7) will look to Luka Doncic (eighth in NBA, 28.1 points per Game) to help overcome Nikola Jokic (fourth in league, 29.7) and the Denver Nuggets (8-5) on Friday, November 22, 2024 at Ball Arena, at 10:00 PM ET on ESPN, ALT, and KFAA.

The Nuggets are a 4.5-point favorite against the Mavericks when the Nuggets and the Mavericks meet. The matchup features an over/under of 230.

Nuggets vs. Mavericks betting odds

NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Thursday at 7:32 PM ET. For a full list of Sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.

  • Spread: Denver -4.5
  • Total: 230
  • Moneyline: Denver -199, Dallas +166

Mavericks at Nuggets odds, spread, & more

Prediction

  • Pick ATS: Mavericks (+ 4.5)
  • Pick OU:

    Under (230)

  • Prediction:
    Nuggets 115 – Mavericks 114

Moneyline

  • The Nuggets have been favored on the moneyline nine total times this season. They’ve gone 6-3 in those games.
  • Denver has gone 4-1 in games it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -199 or shorter (winning 80%).
  • The Nuggets have a 66.6% chance to win this contest based on the moneyline’s implied probability.
  • The Mavericks have won two of the four games they’ve played as underdogs this season.
  • Dallas has played as an underdog of +166 or more once this season and won that game.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 37.6% chance of a victory for the Mavericks.

Against the spread

  • The Nuggets record 7.2 more points per game (116.5) than the Mavericks give up (109.3).
  • When Denver puts up more than 109.3 points, it is 5-4 against the spread and 8-1 overall.
  • When it scores more than 115.1 points, Dallas is 6-2 against the spread and 5-3 overall.
  • Denver has an ATS record of 2-4 and a 2-4 record overall when its opponents score fewer than 115.6 points.
  • The Nuggets are the league’s eighth-ranked scoring team (116.5 PPG), while the Mavericks allow the rank sixth in points per game (109.3) in NBA action.
  • Dallas’ squad is currently the ninth-ranked scoring team in the NBA (115.6 PPG), while Denver’s team is 22nd in points allowed per game (115.1).
  • The Nuggets have totaled only 19 more points than their opponents this season (1.4 per game on average), and the Mavericks have scored 95 more points than their opponents (6.3 per game).

Over/Under

  • The average implied total for Denver this season is 114.9 points, 2.1 fewer points than its implied total of 117 points in Friday’s game.
  • So far this season, Denver has outscored its implied point total for this matchup (117) eight times.
  • The 118.3-point average implied total on the season for Dallas is 5.3 more points than the team’s 113-point implied total in this matchup.

How to watch Nuggets vs. Mavericks

  • Game day: Friday, November 22, 2024
  • Game time: 10:00 PM ET
  • TV channel: ESPN, ALT, and KFAA
  • Location: Denver, Colorado
  • Arena: Ball Arena
  • Live stream: Watch this game Fubo
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