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Cleveland Guardians vs Minnesota Twins Prediction 5-19-24 Picks

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Minnesota Twins (24-21) vs. Cleveland Guardians (29-17)
May 19, 2024 1:40 pm EDT
The Line: Cleveland Guardians -112 / Minnesota Twins -105; Over/Under: +8
(Get latest betting odds)

The Minnesota Twins and the Cleveland Guardians meet Sunday in MLB action from Progressive Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this Game. Here’s a Cleveland Guardians vs Minnesota Twins Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Minnesota Twins will send out Chris Paddack here and he is 4-2 with a 4.89 ERA and 41 strikeouts this season. This will be Paddack’s first career start against Cleveland. Tanner Bibee will start for the Guardians here and is 2-1 with a 4.34 ERA and 48 strikeouts this season. In his career, Bibee is 1-0 with a 3.54 ERA and 27 strikeouts against the Twins.

Minnesota Twins Recap

The Minnesota Twins will be looking to bounce back after their loss to the Guardians on Saturday in an 11-4 beatdown loss. The loss for the Twins puts them at risk of being swept for the second series in a row after being swept by the Yankees to start the week.

Twins Slumping Huge After Hot Streak

Willi Castro leads the Twins at the dish with 40 hits including 10 doubles and 3 triples as well as 14 RBIs and 6 stolen bases. Ryan Jeffers has a team-high 10 home runs, 31 RBIs and 12 doubles with a .274 batting average and .353 OBP. Carlos Santana has 7 home runs with 21 RBIs while Edouard Julien also has 7 home runs, 15 RBIs and 5 stolen bases but also has a team-high 54 strikeouts as well this season.

Why the Minnesota Twins will win

  • The Guardians have lost four of their last five games as home favorites against AL Central opponents following a home win.
  • The underdogs have won four of the last five games between the Twins and Guardians.
  • The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as home favorites against AL Central opponents.
  • The Twins have covered the run line in seven of their last eight day games following a road loss.
  • The Twins have led after 3 innings in each of their last three games as underdogs against AL Central opponents.
  • The Twins have led after 5 innings in each of their last five games as road underdogs against American League opponents.
  • The Twins have won the first inning in four of their last five games as underdogs against American League opponents.

Cleveland Guardians Recap

The Guardians will be pushing for another victory on Sunday to make it five straight wins over the Twins this season, and would go a long way to build on their series win over Texas the series prior.

Guardians Pushing For Another Sweep Of Twins With Strong Play

Steven Kwan leads the Guardians with 47 hits including 3 home runs, 11 RBIs, 6 doubles and a pair of triples with a .353 batting average and a .407 OBP. Josh Naylor has a team-high 12 home runs with 34 RBIs and 8 doubles while Jose Ramirez has 11 homers with a team-high 41 RBIs and 47 hits of his own. Brayan Rocchio has a team-high 8 doubles and 7 stolen bases as well this season.

Why the Cleveland Guardians will win

  • The Guardians have won each of their last eight day games against American League opponents.
  • The Twins have lost each of their last six road games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Guardians have covered the run line in each of their last eight day games following a win.
  • The Twins have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine day games against the Guardians following a loss.
  • The Guardians have led after 3 innings in each of their last three day games against AL Central opponents.

Cleveland Guardians vs Minnesota Twins Prediction

I’m on the Guardians here. The Twins just look like a shell of the team that was on a 16-3 run in a 19-Game stretch not that long ago, getting stifled offensively, giving up runs in bunches or sometimes both. The Guardians aren’t always pretty but they’ve been effective as of late. Bibee’s had issues at home this year, but Paddack’s posted an ERA just under ten on the road this season. I think if it ain’t broke, don’t fix it. Give me the Guardians.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Cleveland -112

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