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Chicago Cubs vs Atlanta Braves Prediction 5-22-24 Picks

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Atlanta Braves (27-18) vs. Chicago Cubs (27-22)
May 22, 2024 7:40 pm EDT
The Line: Chicago Cubs +125 / Atlanta Braves -147; Over/Under: +8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Atlanta Braves and Chicago Cubs meet Wednesday in MLB Game 2 action at Wrigley Field. Here’s a Chicago Cubs vs Atlanta Braves Prediction.

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves are 27-18 on the year despite recent losses to the Cubs and Padres. The Atlanta Braves have scored 11 runs in their last 3 Games and 3 or fewer runs in 5 of their last 6 Games. The Atlanta Braves have lost 5 of their last 7 Games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Marcell Ozuna leads the Atlanta Braves with 54 hits and 43 RBI, while Michael Harris II and Ronald Acuna Jr. have combined for 88 hits and 29 RBI.

Chicago Cubs Betting Preview

The Chicago Cubs are 27-22 on the season despite recent losses to the Braves and Pirates. The Chicago Cubs have scored 7 runs in their last 3 Games and 3 or fewer runs in 5 of their last 8 Games. The Chicago Cubs have lost 5 of their last 6 Games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Nico Hoerner leads the Chicago Cubs with 43 hits and 13 RBI, while Mike Tauchman and Michael Busch have combined for 75 hits and 35 RBI.

Atlanta Braves vs Chicago Cubs Pitching Matchup

Max Fried gets the ball for the Atlanta Braves, and he is 3-2 with a 3.81 ERA and 39 strikeouts this season. Fried has allowed 13 hits and 7 runs in his last 18.1 innings. Fried has a 3.09 ERA and .156 allowed batting average in 32 road innings. Fried is 5-0 with a 1.24 ERA and 29 strikeouts in his career against the Chicago Cubs.

Justin Steele gets the ball for the Chicago Cubs, and he is 0-1 with a 5.21 ERA and 18 strikeouts this season. Steele has allowed 15 hits and 10 earned runs in his last 14.1 innings. The Cubs are 0-4 this season when Steele pitches. Steele is 2-0 with a 4.32 ERA and 16 strikeouts in his career against the Atlanta Braves.

Why the Atlanta Braves will win

  • The Braves have won each of their last seven night games against the Cubs following a loss.
  • The Cubs have lost each of their last six games against National League opponents following a win.
  • The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven home games after playing the previous day.
  • The Braves have covered the run line in eight of their last nine night games following an extra innings loss.

Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts

  • Dansby Swanson has scored at least one run in each of his last eight appearances with the Cubs as home underdogs.
  • Cody Bellinger has recorded an RBI in five of his last six home appearances against NL East opponents.
  • Justin Steele has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last six home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Ian Happ has recorded at least one total base in each of the Cubs’ last seven home games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against the Braves after playing the previous day.
  • Dansby Swanson has hit a home run in five of his last 11 appearances with his team as a home underdog against NL East opponents.
  • Justin Steele has recorded a win in four of his last five home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Cody Bellinger has recorded a Double in three of his last four home appearances against the Braves after playing the previous day.
  • Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 10 appearances against the Braves after playing the previous day.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

  • Michael Harris has recorded an RBI in five of the Braves’ last six road games against the Cubs.
  • Max Fried has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last 16 road appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Michael Harris has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves’ last 17 night games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • Austin Riley has recorded at least one total base in each of his last seven appearances in night games.
  • Austin Riley has scored at least one run in each of his last nine appearances in night games against NL Central teams that held a winning record.
  • Jarred Kelenic has hit a home run in three of his four previous road appearances against the Cubs.
  • Max Fried has recorded a win in seven of his last eight appearances with the Braves as favorites against NL Central opponents.
  • Orlando Arcia has recorded a Double in three of the Braves’ last four road games against NL Central opponents.
  • Marcell Ozuna has recorded at least one Single in each of the Braves’ last eight games as road favorites against NL opponents.
  • Marcell Ozuna ranks 3rd in the league in Home Runs (14) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Chicago Cubs rank T4th in the league for triples this season (11).
  • The Chicago Cubs rank 4th in the league for walks this season (182).
  • The Atlanta Braves rank 2nd in the league for runs allowed this season (167).
  • The Atlanta Braves rank T4th in the league for doubles this season (89).

Chicago Cubs vs Atlanta Braves Prediction

It’s only a matter of time before the Atlanta Braves lineup wakes up, and the runs return to the scoreboard. Max Fried is an all star caliber pitcher when he’s right, and he’s owned the Cubs throughout his career. The Cubs have yet to win a Game this season when Justin Steele pitches, and he has an ERA over 6 in the month of May. Steele has allowed 5 homers in his last 9.2 innings. Not ideal when going up against a talented Braves lineup that hits the long ball. Give me the Braves and the reasonable price in Game 2 against the Cubs.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Atlanta Braves -147

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