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Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction 5-31-24 Picks

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Tampa Bay Rays (28-29) vs. Baltimore Orioles (35-19)
May 31, 2024 7:05 pm EDT
The Line: Baltimore Orioles -135 / Tampa Bay Rays +115; Over/Under: +8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Tampa Bay Rays and Baltimore Orioles meet Friday in MLB Game 1 action at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Here’s a Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction.

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays look to get to a .500 record after wins over the Royals and Athletics. The Tampa Bay Rays have scored 10 runs in their last 3 Games and 4 or more runs in 4 of their last 5 Games. The Tampa Bay Rays have won 3 straight Games when scoring 4 or more runs. Isaac Paredes leads the Tampa Bay Rays with 57 hits and 32 RBI, while Yandy Diaz and Amed Rosario have combined for 100 hits and 45 RBI.

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 35-19 on the season after wins over the White Sox and Red Sox. The Baltimore Orioles have scored 20 runs in their last 3 Games and 4 or more runs in 7 of their last 8 Games. The Baltimore Orioles have won 6 straight Games when scoring 4 or more runs. Adley Rutschman leads the Baltimore Orioles with 63 hits and 37 RBI, while Jordan Westburg and Gunnar Henderson have combined for 109 hits and 75 RBI.

Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles Pitching Matchup

Aaron Civale gets the ball for the Tampa Bay Rays, and he is 2-4 with a 5.72 ERA and 57 strikeouts this season. Civale has allowed 26 hits and 18 earned runs in his last 24.2 innings. Civale has a 7.40 ERA and .301 allowed batting average in 24.1 road innings. Civale is 2-0 with a 6.75 ERA and 14 strikeouts in his career against the Baltimore Orioles.

Albert Suarez gets the ball for the Baltimore Orioles, and he is 2-0 with a 1.53 ERA and 24 strikeouts this season. Suarez has allowed 6 hits and 1 earned run in his last 14 innings. Suarez has a 2.63 ERA and .241 allowed batting average in 13.2 home innings. This will be Suarez’s second career Game against the Tampa Bay Rays.

Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win

  • The Orioles have lost 10 of their last 12 games as favorites against AL East opponents following a home win.
  • The Rays have won four of their last five games as road underdogs.
  • The Rays have covered the run line each of their last six road games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in 11 of their last 12 games as favorites against AL East opponents following a home win.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

  • Adley Rutschman has recorded at least one RBI in seven of the Orioles’ last eight games against AL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Adley Rutschman has recorded at least one hit in each of the Orioles’ last nine night games against AL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Adley Rutschman has recorded at least one total base in each of the Orioles’ last nine night games against AL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Adley Rutschman has hit at least one home run in each of the Orioles’ last four home games against AL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Adley Rutschman has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven home appearances after not playing the previous day.
  • Ryan Mountcastle has recorded a Double in three of the Orioles’ last four games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Gunnar Henderson has scored at least one run in each of the Orioles’ last six home games.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

  • Aaron Civale has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Brandon Lowe has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Rays’ last five games against the Orioles.
  • Amed Rosario has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 road appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Brandon Lowe has hit a home run in four of his last seven appearances in night games against AL East teams that held a winning record.
  • Amed Rosario has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 road appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Harold Ramirez has recorded a Single in each of his last six road appearances against the Orioles after playing the previous day.
  • Brandon Lowe has scored a run in seven of his last eight road appearances after playing the previous day.

Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction

The Baltimore Orioles are going to get the benefit of the doubt because they’re the better team at home. However, I don’t trust Albert Suarez because he doesn’t go deep into Games and I hate openers because of the amount of arms you need to get you to the finish line. Aaron Civale has been awful this season, but he has proven he’s better than what he’s shown this season. The Rays have also shown flashes this week of turning things around. Plus money, the value is with the Rays on the road. Give me the Rays to win Game 1 against the Orioles.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Tampa Bay Rays +115

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